\"<p>In
In terms of the fiber laid, the fibre kilometre (fkm) per capita in India is much less compared to several other key markets. The fkm per capita for China with a population 1.3 billion strong, while for India with a population of 1.2 billion, is just one-tenth, i.e. 0.09. Japan and the US lead in this aspect with 1.35 and 1.34 fkm respectively. Compared to India where 33 % of towers are fiberised,in South Korea 65-70% of sites have been fiberised, while in the US, Japan and China, the level of fiberisation is 80-90%.<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>The launch of next generation 5G<\/a> services may give an impetus to the fiber market but deployment of pan India 5G<\/a> at convergent tariffs would impact the growth in tier 2 and tier 3 markets making wireline broadband services unviable in a longer run.

The wireline broadband market picked up momentum during the pandemic owing to remote working, online education, over-the-top content consumption and e-commerce. However, the growth was restricted mainly to big and tier 1 cities, according to experts.

No wonder, in rankings, India’s wired broadband market trails with fixed broadband penetration at just 6% which is the lowest in the world, compared with 55% in China, 70% in Eurozone and 80% in Japan.

“The demand for wired broadband received a boost in the pandemic which witnessed subscriber additions. While the growth momentum has continued in fiscal 2023, it has largely been metro and tier 1 focused and will continue to remain metro and tier 1 focused by fiscal 2024. This is because of the requirement of high fiberisation infrastructure which is lacking in rural circles,” Aniket Dani, Director, CRISIL Research said.

However, the importance of fixed broadband will remain high as the continued rise in data usage necessitates an increase in fibre deployment in the times to come and would be crucial for the success of 5G in India, according to
Broadband India Forum<\/a> (BIF).

5G: Will it widen the digital divide?<\/strong>

One of the biggest and most successful use cases of 5G is likely to be FWA (Fixed Wireless Access). But in initial years, 5G may only add to the digital divide, increasing the disparities between the haves and have-nots as the normal phenomenon of technology evolution.

“In the initial years, the telecom players will only roll out 5G networks in the metros and urban areas, for financial feasibility. While urban areas are expected to be covered well by 5G in the next 2-4 years, the rural economy will suffer and remain deprived of its benefits for some time. The deployment of 5G is expected to exacerbate the digital divide in India, unless specific actions are taken to ensure that all markets – both urban and rural, are catered to equally,” TV Ramachandran, President, BIF said.

Dani adds the viability of wireline broadband will also depend on the availability of reliable and affordable 5G. “The digital divide was on account of infrastructure and devices and not services offered. While 5G is expected to initially create a divide due to its deployment in 13 cities in year one, we expect the divide to reduce over the period.”

As per current statistics, at least 70% of towers need to be fiberised from the existing level of 33%. As per the recent data released by
National Broadband Mission<\/a> 11.71 lakh kms of optical fibre cable has been laid since 2019. Though, the overall fiberization percentage across India remains 35% as per the NBM targets this needs to scale up to 55% by end of 2022. States like Bihar, Himachal Pradesh, Manipur and Nagaland have less than 30% towers fiberized presently and they need to focus towards this aspect accordingly, according to Digital Infrastructure Providers Association<\/a> (DIPA).

In terms of the fiber laid, the fibre kilometre (fkm) per capita in India is much less compared to several other key markets. The fkm per capita for China with a population 1.3 billion strong, while for India with a population of 1.2 billion, is just one-tenth, i.e. 0.09. Japan and the US lead in this aspect with 1.35 and 1.34 fkm respectively. Compared to India where 33 % of towers are fiberised,in South Korea 65-70% of sites have been fiberised, while in the US, Japan and China, the level of fiberisation is 80-90%.

“Affordable wireless tariffs will be a deterrent as the average revenue per user (ARPU) from rural markets remains low. Players are expected to heavily invest in improving fiberisation and deployment of BTS shelling out Rs 3-5 lakh crore in this and next fiscal. While the growth momentum is expected to continue, it will be skewed towards urban areas in this and next fiscal. Semi-rural and rural areas will only witness traction, if any, post fiscal 2024,” Dani said.

Read also<\/h4>
<\/a><\/figure>
5G: Infrastructure hurdles and limited use cases could play spoilsport in initial years of rollout<\/a><\/h5><\/div>
<\/a><\/figure>
DoT simplifies RoW rules to expedite 5G infrastructure rollout<\/a><\/h5><\/div>
<\/a><\/figure>
Enterprises keen on 5G-led business transformation: Airtel’s Ajay Chitkara<\/a><\/h5><\/div>
<\/a><\/figure>
Indian telecom players to follow China&#39;s 5G call route: CLSA<\/a><\/h5><\/div><\/div><\/div>
Way Ahead<\/strong>

Wireless broadband will continue to account for higher revenues and subscriber base, according to experts.

As of June 2022, wired broadband subscribers accounted for around 4% of the total broadband subscribers. “We do not expect wired broadband share to change significantly and remain at 3-5% by fiscal 2026. However, the wired broadband penetration is expected to increase to 11-12% in fiscal 2026 from 9% in fiscal 2022. The penetration is expected to be more urban centric than rural,” Dani said.

The wireline broadband market has been plagued with multiple challenges - lack of optical fiber infrastructure, high capex cost and various RoW hurdles. The wireline
industry<\/a> is capex intensive as it relies on the deployment of fiber optics to the last mile. Another alternative is the use of copper wires to provide broadband, however, they compromise on speed and increase latency compared to fiber.

Equal emphasis on fiber rollouts and huge densification of small cell sites will lead to higher offtake of FTTH and fiber in the metros\/cities. Besides, Public Wi-Fi penetration is also considerably low compared to other digitally advanced economies and it continues to be a challenge, unless the thrust towards growth of PM-WANI based Public Wi-Fi hotspots leads to greater offtake of broadband, Ramachandran adds.

India has over 1 billion mobile users, out of which 350 million subscribers are still legacy subscribers with access to voice and message services i.e on 2G networks. According to data from Crisil, these users contribute less than Rs is50 to ARPU. And over this, the
industry<\/a> has around 28 million 2G and 3G data subscribers.

While the sticky base is on account of multiple factors such as low-income base and lack of required infrastructure, the upgrades are expected to be quicker in the next two years from 2G\/3G data to 4G\/5G. But the growth will mainly come from the wireless segment and wireline broadband may have to wait a bit longer.
<\/body>","next_sibling":[{"msid":94284249,"title":"Telegram's new update brings infinite reactions, emoji statuses","entity_type":"ARTICLE","link":"\/news\/telegrams-new-update-brings-infinite-reactions-emoji-statuses\/94284249","category_name":null,"category_name_seo":"telecomnews"}],"related_content":[],"msid":94290191,"entity_type":"ARTICLE","title":"In-depth: 5G to drive fiber market but growth in rural broadband a distant dream","synopsis":"One of the biggest and most successful use cases of 5G is likely to be FWA (Fixed Wireless Access). But in initial years, 5G may only add to the digital divide, increasing the disparities between the haves and have-nots as the normal phenomenon of technology evolution.","titleseo":"telecomnews\/5g-to-drive-fiber-market-but-growth-in-rural-broadband-a-distant-dream","status":"ACTIVE","authors":[{"author_name":"Ashutosh Kumar","author_link":"\/author\/479254781\/ashutosh-kumar","author_image":"https:\/\/etimg.etb2bimg.com\/authorthumb\/479254781.cms?width=100&height=100&hostid=268","author_additional":{"thumbsize":true,"msid":479254781,"author_name":"Ashutosh Kumar","author_seo_name":"ashutosh-kumar","designation":"Digital Content Producer","agency":false}},{"author_name":"Mansi Taneja","author_link":"\/author\/479255290\/mansi-taneja","author_image":"https:\/\/etimg.etb2bimg.com\/authorthumb\/479255290.cms?width=100&height=100&hostid=268","author_additional":{"thumbsize":true,"msid":479255290,"author_name":"Mansi Taneja","author_seo_name":"mansi-taneja","designation":"Associate Editor","agency":false}}],"analytics":{"comments":0,"views":3546,"shares":0,"engagementtimems":9947000},"Alttitle":{"minfo":""},"artag":"ETTelecom","artdate":"2022-09-19 07:22:31","lastupd":"2023-02-23 17:56:56","breadcrumbTags":["5G","national broadband mission","digital infrastructure providers association","rural broadband internet","Industry","Broadband India Forum","5G service","5G network","telecom news","5G fiberisation"],"secinfo":{"seolocation":"telecomnews\/5g-to-drive-fiber-market-but-growth-in-rural-broadband-a-distant-dream"}}" data-authors="[" ashutosh kumar","mansi taneja"]" data-category-name="" data-category_id="" data-date="2022-09-19" data-index="article_1">

深入:5克纤维市场,但在农村宽带推动经济增长一个遥远的梦

一个最大的和最成功的用例5 g可能是澳洲公平工作委员会(固定无线接入)。但在最初的几年,5 g可能只增加了数字鸿沟,增加富人和穷人之间的差距作为技术发展的正常现象。

Ashutosh库马尔 曼西希夫
  • 更新2023年2月23日下午05:56坚持
阅读: 100年行业专业人士
读者的形象读到100年行业专业人士
< p >的纤维,纤维公里(fkm)人均在印度其他几个关键市场相比要少得多。fkm人均为中国人口13亿人,而对于拥有12亿人口的印度,只是十分之一,即0.09。日本和美国在这方面分别为1.35和1.34 fkm。印度33%的塔fiberised相比,在韩国已经fiberised 65 - 70%的网站,而在美国,日本和中国,fiberisation 80 - 90%的水平。< / p >
的纤维,纤维公里(fkm)人均在印度其他几个关键市场相比要少得多。fkm人均为中国人口13亿人,而对于拥有12亿人口的印度,只是十分之一,即0.09。日本和美国在这方面分别为1.35和1.34 fkm。印度33%的塔fiberised相比,在韩国已经fiberised 65 - 70%的网站,而在美国,日本和中国,fiberisation 80 - 90%的水平。
推出下一代5克服务可能给出一个动力纤维市场,但印度部署锅5克在收敛的关税会影响二、三线市场的增长在长期的有线宽带服务将无以为继。

广告
有线宽带市场发展势头在大流行期间由于远程工作,在线教育,过多的内容消费和电子商务。然而,增长是主要限制大,一级城市,据专家。

难怪,在排名中,印度的有线宽带市场轨迹固定宽带普及率仅为6%,是世界上最低的,在中国这一比例为55%,欧元区为70%,日本为80%。

“有线宽带的需求得到了提升在目睹了用户添加的大流行。虽然发展势头仍在2023财政年度,它很大程度上是地铁1号线集中并将继续保持地铁1号线2024年财政集中。这是由于缺乏高fiberisation基础设施的要求在农村领域,”主任Aniket达尼,CRISIL的研究说。

然而,固定宽带的重要性将保持高的继续增长,数据使用需要增加纤维部署在《纽约时报》和将在印度5 g的成功的关键,根据宽带印度论坛(BIF)。

5 g:它会扩大数字鸿沟吗?

一个最大的和最成功的用例5 g可能是澳洲公平工作委员会(固定无线接入)。但在最初的几年,5 g可能只增加了数字鸿沟,增加富人和穷人之间的差距作为技术发展的正常现象。

“在最初的几年,电信的球员只会推出5 g网络在地铁和城市地区,财务可行性。在城市地区预计将覆盖5 g在未来2 - 4年,农村经济就会受到影响,仍然剥夺其好处有一段时间了。5克的部署在印度预计将加剧数字鸿沟,除非采取具体行动,以确保所有市场,无论在城市还是农村,都是迎合同样,”电视拉马钱德兰总统BIF说。

广告
达尼说有线宽带的可行性也将依赖于可靠和负担得起的5 g的可用性。“数字鸿沟的基础设施和设备,而提供的服务。虽然预计5克最初创建一个分裂由于其部署在13个城市的第一年,我们预计将减少。”

根据目前的统计,至少有70%的塔需要fiberised从现有水平的33%。根据最近发布的数据全国宽带计划十万的11.71公里的光纤电缆已自2019年以来。不过,整个纤维化在印度仍然是35%按照非目标这需要扩大到2022年底的55%。比哈尔邦,喜马偕尔邦,曼尼普尔邦和那加兰邦塔纤维化目前不到30%,他们对这方面相应地需要专注,据数字基础设施提供商协会(DIPA)。

的纤维,纤维公里(fkm)人均在印度其他几个关键市场相比要少得多。fkm人均为中国人口13亿人,而对于拥有12亿人口的印度,只是十分之一,即0.09。日本和美国在这方面分别为1.35和1.34 fkm。印度33%的塔fiberised相比,在韩国已经fiberised 65 - 70%的网站,而在美国,日本和中国,fiberisation 80 - 90%的水平。

“买得起的无线关税将是一个威慑的每用户平均收入(ARPU)从农村市场仍然很低。玩家将大举投资改善fiberisation和部署BTS付3 - 5个十万的卢比和明年的财政。尽管预计增长势头继续,这将是向城市倾斜和明年的财政。半乡村式和农村地区只见证牵引,如果有的话,2024财年,”丹尼说。

读也


遥遥领先

无线宽带将继续占更高的收入和用户基础,根据专家。

截至2022年6月,有线宽带用户占宽带用户总数的4%左右。“我们不指望有线宽带共享显著变化,保持在3 - 2026财年的5%。然而,有线宽带普及率预计将增加到11 - 12%在2026财年从2022财年的9%。渗透预计将比农村更以城市为中心的,”丹尼说。

有线宽带市场遇到了多重挑战——缺乏光纤基础设施、高资本成本和各种行障碍。的钢丝绳行业是资本密集型的,因为它依赖于光纤到最后一英里的部署。另一种替代方法是使用铜导线提供宽带,然而,他们妥协的速度和增加延迟相比,纤维。

平等的强调纤维小细胞网站的发布和巨大的致密化将导致更高的FTTH承购和纤维在地铁/城市。此外,公共wi - fi的普及率也大大低于其他发达经济体数字,它仍然是一个挑战,除非基于PM-WANI公共wi - fi热点的推力对增长会导致更大的宽带移去,拉玛钱德朗补充道。

印度有超过10亿手机用户,其中3.5亿用户仍遗留用户提供语音和消息服务。e 2 g网络。Crisil的数据显示,这些用户贡献不到Rs is50 ARPU。在此,行业有大约2800万2 g和3 g用户的数据。

而粘性基地的多个因素,如低收入基地和缺乏必需的基础设施,更快升级预计将在未来两年从2 g / 3 g数据4 g / 5 g。但增长将主要来自无线段和有线宽带可能需要等待一段时间。
  • 发布于2022年9月19日上午07:22坚持

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\"&lt;p&gt;In
In terms of the fiber laid, the fibre kilometre (fkm) per capita in India is much less compared to several other key markets. The fkm per capita for China with a population 1.3 billion strong, while for India with a population of 1.2 billion, is just one-tenth, i.e. 0.09. Japan and the US lead in this aspect with 1.35 and 1.34 fkm respectively. Compared to India where 33 % of towers are fiberised,in South Korea 65-70% of sites have been fiberised, while in the US, Japan and China, the level of fiberisation is 80-90%.<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>The launch of next generation 5G<\/a> services may give an impetus to the fiber market but deployment of pan India 5G<\/a> at convergent tariffs would impact the growth in tier 2 and tier 3 markets making wireline broadband services unviable in a longer run.

The wireline broadband market picked up momentum during the pandemic owing to remote working, online education, over-the-top content consumption and e-commerce. However, the growth was restricted mainly to big and tier 1 cities, according to experts.

No wonder, in rankings, India’s wired broadband market trails with fixed broadband penetration at just 6% which is the lowest in the world, compared with 55% in China, 70% in Eurozone and 80% in Japan.

“The demand for wired broadband received a boost in the pandemic which witnessed subscriber additions. While the growth momentum has continued in fiscal 2023, it has largely been metro and tier 1 focused and will continue to remain metro and tier 1 focused by fiscal 2024. This is because of the requirement of high fiberisation infrastructure which is lacking in rural circles,” Aniket Dani, Director, CRISIL Research said.

However, the importance of fixed broadband will remain high as the continued rise in data usage necessitates an increase in fibre deployment in the times to come and would be crucial for the success of 5G in India, according to
Broadband India Forum<\/a> (BIF).

5G: Will it widen the digital divide?<\/strong>

One of the biggest and most successful use cases of 5G is likely to be FWA (Fixed Wireless Access). But in initial years, 5G may only add to the digital divide, increasing the disparities between the haves and have-nots as the normal phenomenon of technology evolution.

“In the initial years, the telecom players will only roll out 5G networks in the metros and urban areas, for financial feasibility. While urban areas are expected to be covered well by 5G in the next 2-4 years, the rural economy will suffer and remain deprived of its benefits for some time. The deployment of 5G is expected to exacerbate the digital divide in India, unless specific actions are taken to ensure that all markets – both urban and rural, are catered to equally,” TV Ramachandran, President, BIF said.

Dani adds the viability of wireline broadband will also depend on the availability of reliable and affordable 5G. “The digital divide was on account of infrastructure and devices and not services offered. While 5G is expected to initially create a divide due to its deployment in 13 cities in year one, we expect the divide to reduce over the period.”

As per current statistics, at least 70% of towers need to be fiberised from the existing level of 33%. As per the recent data released by
National Broadband Mission<\/a> 11.71 lakh kms of optical fibre cable has been laid since 2019. Though, the overall fiberization percentage across India remains 35% as per the NBM targets this needs to scale up to 55% by end of 2022. States like Bihar, Himachal Pradesh, Manipur and Nagaland have less than 30% towers fiberized presently and they need to focus towards this aspect accordingly, according to Digital Infrastructure Providers Association<\/a> (DIPA).

In terms of the fiber laid, the fibre kilometre (fkm) per capita in India is much less compared to several other key markets. The fkm per capita for China with a population 1.3 billion strong, while for India with a population of 1.2 billion, is just one-tenth, i.e. 0.09. Japan and the US lead in this aspect with 1.35 and 1.34 fkm respectively. Compared to India where 33 % of towers are fiberised,in South Korea 65-70% of sites have been fiberised, while in the US, Japan and China, the level of fiberisation is 80-90%.

“Affordable wireless tariffs will be a deterrent as the average revenue per user (ARPU) from rural markets remains low. Players are expected to heavily invest in improving fiberisation and deployment of BTS shelling out Rs 3-5 lakh crore in this and next fiscal. While the growth momentum is expected to continue, it will be skewed towards urban areas in this and next fiscal. Semi-rural and rural areas will only witness traction, if any, post fiscal 2024,” Dani said.

Read also<\/h4>
<\/a><\/figure>
5G: Infrastructure hurdles and limited use cases could play spoilsport in initial years of rollout<\/a><\/h5><\/div>
<\/a><\/figure>
DoT simplifies RoW rules to expedite 5G infrastructure rollout<\/a><\/h5><\/div>
<\/a><\/figure>
Enterprises keen on 5G-led business transformation: Airtel’s Ajay Chitkara<\/a><\/h5><\/div>
<\/a><\/figure>
Indian telecom players to follow China&#39;s 5G call route: CLSA<\/a><\/h5><\/div><\/div><\/div>
Way Ahead<\/strong>

Wireless broadband will continue to account for higher revenues and subscriber base, according to experts.

As of June 2022, wired broadband subscribers accounted for around 4% of the total broadband subscribers. “We do not expect wired broadband share to change significantly and remain at 3-5% by fiscal 2026. However, the wired broadband penetration is expected to increase to 11-12% in fiscal 2026 from 9% in fiscal 2022. The penetration is expected to be more urban centric than rural,” Dani said.

The wireline broadband market has been plagued with multiple challenges - lack of optical fiber infrastructure, high capex cost and various RoW hurdles. The wireline
industry<\/a> is capex intensive as it relies on the deployment of fiber optics to the last mile. Another alternative is the use of copper wires to provide broadband, however, they compromise on speed and increase latency compared to fiber.

Equal emphasis on fiber rollouts and huge densification of small cell sites will lead to higher offtake of FTTH and fiber in the metros\/cities. Besides, Public Wi-Fi penetration is also considerably low compared to other digitally advanced economies and it continues to be a challenge, unless the thrust towards growth of PM-WANI based Public Wi-Fi hotspots leads to greater offtake of broadband, Ramachandran adds.

India has over 1 billion mobile users, out of which 350 million subscribers are still legacy subscribers with access to voice and message services i.e on 2G networks. According to data from Crisil, these users contribute less than Rs is50 to ARPU. And over this, the
industry<\/a> has around 28 million 2G and 3G data subscribers.

While the sticky base is on account of multiple factors such as low-income base and lack of required infrastructure, the upgrades are expected to be quicker in the next two years from 2G\/3G data to 4G\/5G. But the growth will mainly come from the wireless segment and wireline broadband may have to wait a bit longer.
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