Apple<\/a> had raised its sales projections in the weeks leading up to the iPhone 14<\/a>’s release, before reverting to its earlier forecast. So in theory, the retreat didn’t massively move the needle for its own products. But the trickle-down effect is harder to manage. What happens to the supply chain<\/a> and the hundreds of manufacturers depending on Apple for guidance? The latest news hit them hard, sending the shares of chipmakers and phone assemblers tumbling.
Demand for memory chips, a key component in smartphones and other electronics, was already showing signs of weakening months ago — receding from the pandemic boom when everyone was sitting at home glued to their devices<\/a>. In December last year, analysts at Jefferies Financial Group Inc.<\/a> noted that the second-half outlook was “less certain” than the first due to weak demand for phones, TVs<\/a> and consumer PCs<\/a>.
Yet suppliers can still be caught off-guard when big customers alter their guidance, especially at short notice. It was only recently that some of Apple’s suppliers had started making preparations for an expected 7% boost in orders.
Further down the chain, makers of the semiconductor production equipment used to make the chips — themselves victims of a bottleneck that squeezed output over the past two years — had been anticipating a pickup. Manufacturers in this $60 billion-plus industry were, as recently as July, expecting strong demand for memory and storage, with the market set to expand. Expenditures and investment weren’t projected to go down until next year, according to the North American industry association. But then some of them began revising their budgets as they were asked to cancel deliveries by customers.
How is it that these industries — so deeply dependent on each other — aren’t quite on the same page?
No wonder that we’ve ended up with severe supply-chain snarls. It’s delays like these — caused by failure to sync with the market and suppliers — that lead to intractable production issues and leave small manufacturers on the hook. While firms across the board try to gauge the correct levels of inventory and manage their product cycles, they end up either over- or under-ordering. Parts makers usually don’t have long to adjust their operations.
The champion of supply-chain management, Toyota Motor Corp., recently started giving its massive network of component makers more time — to take the pressure off them, their profits and margins. That especially helps the hundreds of smaller firms — typically manufacturing just one or two components — that take the bulk of the cost pressures. Customers’ moving targets can tip them into trouble very quickly.
Without such guidance, suppliers are left holding the bag. It’s easy to say, you can’t blame Apple — on a net basis, they didn’t really change their production. But as supply-chain issues persist and firms struggle to align their operations while rapid technology shifts pull them in different directions, it’s time the big companies started paying more attention. It isn’t that hard to keep everyone in the loop.
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苹果(aapl . o:行情)。撤离计划今年增加产量的新iphone。相反,它将生产,符合最初的预期。好了——一个迫在眉睫的全球经济衰退和强势美元可能意味着美国以外的消费者会感到经济拮据如果他们出发去买一个新的手机。
苹果提高了销售预测在前几周iPhone 14之前的版本中,恢复到其先前的预测。理论上,撤退并没有大规模打消自己的产品。但是涓滴效应很难管理。发生了什么供应链和数以百计的厂商根据苹果的指导吗?最新消息他们遭受重创,乐动扑克导致芯片制造商和电话汇编的股票暴跌。
对内存芯片的需求,智能手机和其他电子产品的关键组成部分,几个月前已经显示出疲软的迹象——从流行热潮消退时每个人都坐在家里盯着他们设备。去年12月,分析师Jefferies Financial Group Inc .)指出,下半年前景是“不确定”要比第一个由于对手机需求疲软,电视和消费者个人电脑。
然而供应商仍然可以猝不及防当大客户改变他们的指导,尤其是在短时间内。直到最近,一些苹果的供应商已经开始预期增加7%订单做准备。
进一步链,制造商的半导体生产设备用于制造芯片——自己的受害者一个瓶颈压缩输出在过去两年一直期待出现皮卡。制造商在这60多亿美元的产业,就在7月,期望,对内存和存储的强劲需求,市场将扩大。支出和投资没有预计到明年,根据北美行业协会。但是后来他们中的一些人开始修改他们的预算,他们被要求取消交付客户。
为什么这些行业-深深地依赖彼此不是很在同一页面?
难怪我们最终与供应链严重堵塞。这样的延迟,造成未能同步市场和供应商,导致棘手问题,离开生产小型制造商在钩子上。虽然公司试图衡量正确的库存水平和管理他们的产品周期,最终他们,或者under-ordering。零部件制造商通常不会一直来调整他们的操作。
供应链管理的冠军,丰田汽车公司(Toyota Motor Corp .)最近开始给其庞大的网络组件制造商更多的时间,减轻了他们的工作压力,他们的利润和利润率。,特别是帮助数以百计的小公司——通常制造只是一个或两个组件——需要大量的成本压力。客户的移动目标可以提示他们很快陷入困境。
没有这样的指导,供应商收拾烂摊子了。很容易说,你不能责怪苹果——在网络的基础上,他们并没有真正改变他们的生产。但随着供应链问题仍然存在,公司努力使他们的运营而快速的技术变化把他们在不同的方向,是时候大公司开始更加关注。那不是很难让每个人都在循环。
苹果提高了销售预测在前几周iPhone 14之前的版本中,恢复到其先前的预测。理论上,撤退并没有大规模打消自己的产品。但是涓滴效应很难管理。发生了什么供应链和数以百计的厂商根据苹果的指导吗?最新消息他们遭受重创,乐动扑克导致芯片制造商和电话汇编的股票暴跌。
对内存芯片的需求,智能手机和其他电子产品的关键组成部分,几个月前已经显示出疲软的迹象——从流行热潮消退时每个人都坐在家里盯着他们设备。去年12月,分析师Jefferies Financial Group Inc .)指出,下半年前景是“不确定”要比第一个由于对手机需求疲软,电视和消费者个人电脑。
然而供应商仍然可以猝不及防当大客户改变他们的指导,尤其是在短时间内。直到最近,一些苹果的供应商已经开始预期增加7%订单做准备。
进一步链,制造商的半导体生产设备用于制造芯片——自己的受害者一个瓶颈压缩输出在过去两年一直期待出现皮卡。制造商在这60多亿美元的产业,就在7月,期望,对内存和存储的强劲需求,市场将扩大。支出和投资没有预计到明年,根据北美行业协会。但是后来他们中的一些人开始修改他们的预算,他们被要求取消交付客户。
为什么这些行业-深深地依赖彼此不是很在同一页面?
难怪我们最终与供应链严重堵塞。这样的延迟,造成未能同步市场和供应商,导致棘手问题,离开生产小型制造商在钩子上。虽然公司试图衡量正确的库存水平和管理他们的产品周期,最终他们,或者under-ordering。零部件制造商通常不会一直来调整他们的操作。
供应链管理的冠军,丰田汽车公司(Toyota Motor Corp .)最近开始给其庞大的网络组件制造商更多的时间,减轻了他们的工作压力,他们的利润和利润率。,特别是帮助数以百计的小公司——通常制造只是一个或两个组件——需要大量的成本压力。客户的移动目标可以提示他们很快陷入困境。
没有这样的指导,供应商收拾烂摊子了。很容易说,你不能责怪苹果——在网络的基础上,他们并没有真正改变他们的生产。但随着供应链问题仍然存在,公司努力使他们的运营而快速的技术变化把他们在不同的方向,是时候大公司开始更加关注。那不是很难让每个人都在循环。
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