Given the changing sector landscape and sharp correction (80 per cent in 12 months) in Vodafone Idea’s stock price, the brokerage believes the risks are overdone. Voda Idea’s AGR dues would likely be 49 per cent of ad-hoc provisions, while growth is set to accelerate led by tariff hikes, with cash Ebitda tripling by FY22CL.
Voda Idea’s market share in its top-10 circles (77 per cent of revenues) at 31 per cent is slightly ahead of Bharti Airtel, and the company may give up spectrum in weak circles. In the emerging new scenario, the cumulative funding need of the company will be $2.3 billion, including hefty spectrum payments from FY23. The brokerage upgrades the from “sell” to “buy” with the target price being raised from Rs 3.50 to Rs 12.
The company’s share price moved down by -7.25 per cent from its previous close of Rs 3.45. The last traded price is Rs 3.20.
Investment Rationale<\/b>
The 35-79 per cent correction in Voda Idea stock over 3-12 months is pricing in a pessimistic scenario. With likely lower AGR dues, potential government relief, return of growth, and the telecom company’s focus on top markets<\/a>, risks are overdone in the brokerage view.
In an emerging new landscape and growth returning (led by tariff hikes), the promoters of the company will likely also reassess their stance on incremental funding (with promoters contributing 72 per cent in US$3.5bn rights issue of 2019). With the stock’s risk-reward turning favourable, the stock is upgraded from sell to buy and the target price raised from Rs 3.50 to Rs 12.
CLSA<\/a>’s valuation of Vodafone Idea is based on 8x EV\/Ebitda 1-year forward Ebitda of FY22, which is at a 10 per cent discount to the Bharti Airtel and Reliance Jio valuation multiples.
Investment risks<\/b>: Tariff wars initiated by Reliance Jio could negatively impact earnings and leverage. Delays in realisation of merger synergies will affect Ebitda estimates and increase gearing.
Financials<\/b>
Vodafone Idea's key products\/revenue segments include Telecommunication Services which contributed Rs 36766.80 crore to sales value (99.75 per cent of total sales ) and Other Operating Revenue which contributed Rs 92.00 crore to sales value (0.24 per cent of total sales )for the year ending March 31, -2019.
For the quarter ended December 31, 2019, the company has reported consolidated sales of Rs 11,089.40 crore, up 2.26 per cent from last quarter sales of Rs 10,844 crore and down -5.63 per cent from last year same quarter sales of Rs 11751.60 crore. The company has reported net profit after tax of Rs -6538.70 crore in latest quarter. Incorporated in 1995, Voda Idea is a midcap company with a market cap of Rs 9942.44 crore.<\/body>","next_sibling":[{"msid":74768867,"title":"Airtel urges Jio, Vodafone Idea, BSNL, MTNL to activate intra-circle roaming for seamless connectivity","entity_type":"ARTICLE","link":"\/news\/airtel-activates-intra-circle-roaming-with-other-telcos-to-ensure-seamless-connectivity\/74768867","category_name":null,"category_name_seo":"telecomnews"}],"related_content":[{"msid":"74768884","title":"Buy","entity_type":"IMAGES","seopath":"markets\/stocks\/recos\/buy-voda-idea-target-price-rs-12-clsa\/buy","category_name":"Buy Voda Idea, target price Rs 12: CLSA ","synopsis":false,"thumb":"https:\/\/etimg.etb2bimg.com\/thumb\/img-size-351913\/74768884.cms?width=150&height=112","link":"\/image\/markets\/stocks\/recos\/buy-voda-idea-target-price-rs-12-clsa\/buy\/74768884"}],"msid":74769465,"entity_type":"ARTICLE","title":"Buy Voda Idea, target price Rs 12: CLSA ","synopsis":"CLSA\u2019s valuation of Vodafone Idea is based on 8x EV\/Ebitda 1-year forward Ebitda of FY22, which is at a 10 per cent discount to the Bharti Airtel and Reliance Jio valuation multiples. ","titleseo":"telecomnews\/buy-voda-idea-target-price-rs-12-clsa","status":"ACTIVE","authors":[],"Alttitle":{"minfo":""},"artag":"ETMarkets.com","artdate":"2020-03-23 11:41:07","lastupd":"2020-03-23 11:43:33","breadcrumbTags":["voda idea share price","Vodafone Idea Ltd.","markets","CLSA","sensex","Industry","Nifty"],"secinfo":{"seolocation":"telecomnews\/buy-voda-idea-target-price-rs-12-clsa"}}" data-news_link="//www.iser-br.com/news/buy-voda-idea-target-price-rs-12-clsa/74769465">