NEW DELHI: The crisis deepended at Vodafone Idea<\/a> after Kumar Mangalam Birla<\/a> stepped down as the Non-Executive Director and Non-Executive Chairman of the board of the company, sending the share prices downhill. 分析人士说,理论上是不可能的,但也有一些场景中,投资者可能一无所有。答案很大程度上在于什么形式的公司将生存下来,如果是这样。 新德里:危机deepended沃达丰的想法后Kumar Mangalam贝拉辞去非执行董事和非执行董事会主席的公司,将股价下坡。
This followed a letter by Birla to the government, in which he asked for help and even proposed to forego his stake in case any government or private entity wanted to take over the business, in lieu of helping survive the company.
The stock price hit a low of Rs 4.55 per share on Thursday compared with Rs 8.50 level just three days back. Volumes shot up suddenly. Now, scared investors are asking if the share price can hit zero?
Analysts say theoretically it is not possible, but there are some scenarios in which investors may be left with nothing in their hand. The answer largely lies in what form the company will survive, if it does.
Most opinions on Dalal Street say the government cannot afford to let Vodafone Idea die. The company employs a large number of people, who depend on it to earn their living. Unemployment is a touchy subject for the government. Moreover, if Vodafone goes belly up, it will result in virtual duopoly in the telecom market, pushing tariffs up significantly.
“I will compare tariffs with onion prices. Whenever onion prices go up, it creates political issues. Similarly, mobile telephone has become a necessity. So you can’t afford to have tariffs rise sharply,” said Ambareesh Baliga, an independent market analyst.
Another major issue that can stem from the collapse of Vodafone Idea is that the banking system will be left with a massive bad loan account, which may be around Rs 23,000 crore. Vodafone Idea’s biggest lenders include State Bank of India<\/a>, IndusInd Bank<\/a> and Yes Bank.
“Either the government gives sops right now or pays via recapitalisations to banks. Moreover, if the company collapses, you will not even get your AGR dues that you are fighting for right now,” Baliga said.
In fact, some reports say Vodafone Plc<\/a>, the UK-based parent of the company, has offered its stake to BSNL<\/a> or any other financial institutions for free provided they take over the wireless telephony company. Vodafone Plc has claridies that it won't infuse anymore liquidity in its Indian arm, echoing Birla’s stand.
The chatter on the Street is that the government could do the same with Vodafone Idea what the US government did with Citibank during the global financial crisis. In 2008, the US rescued Citigroup Inc agreeing to shoulder most losses of about $306 billion of the bank’s risky assets, and inject new capital in exchange of equity. The government eventually sold its stake after the bank was able to stand on its own legs.
However, this will mean Vodafone Idea shares<\/a> will be zero.
“It appears that Vodafone Idea has been abandoned by both its promoters. The hands of governments are also tied after apex court order. Hence, few options are left now that avoid liquidation. Nationalisation is one, which would entail writing off the entire equity of current shareholders. Moreover, all the dues to the government and banks can be converted into equity,” said Ajay Bodke, an independent market analyst. He was earlier managing PMS funds of Prabhudas Lilladher.
He said the government can also raise the floor price of telecom tariffs and ask the current managers to continue. As the company is making money at the Ebitda level, after all dues are cleared, the company will become profitable even with bloated equity.
The net worth of Vodafone Idea is negative Rs 38,228 crore, as of March 31, 2021.
\"A powerful duopoly in telecom is not desirable. Therefore, the government should explore all options to make the hugely crucial telecom sector a three-player industry<\/a>,\" said VK Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Financial Services.
\"Birla's offer to give up his stake to give a potential lease of life to Voda Idea and its customers, which should be welcomed and all options explored. An important learning from this sad episode is that governments' short-sighted policies to maximise revenues can wreck havoc on a crucial industry,\" he said.
So, with things so uncertain today, and the chances of survival a little higher given the risks Vodafone Idea’s collapse entails, should you buy the stock?
“It is a binary event. If it survives, it could be a multibagger, rising 2 to 3 times. And if it doesn’t survive then it is a writeoff. So only those who can take very high risks should buy Vodafone Idea now. Otherwise don’t,” said Baliga.
<\/p><\/body>","next_sibling":[{"msid":85066443,"title":"Vodafone Idea CEO says Birla, ABG will continue to support telco","entity_type":"ARTICLE","link":"\/news\/vodafone-idea-ceo-takkar-assures-employees-about-telcos-future\/85066443","category_name":null,"category_name_seo":"telecomnews"}],"related_content":[{"msid":"85067389","title":"Crisis deepens: Can Vodafone Idea share price reach zero?","entity_type":"IMAGES","seopath":"markets\/stocks\/news\/crisis-deepens-can-vodafone-idea-share-price-reach-zero","category_name":"Crisis deepens: Can Vodafone Idea share price reach zero?","synopsis":"Another major issue that can stem from the collapse of Vodafone Idea is that the banking system will be left with a massive bad loan account, which may be around Rs 23,000 crore. ","thumb":"https:\/\/etimg.etb2bimg.com\/thumb\/img-size-97765\/85067389.cms?width=150&height=112","link":"\/image\/markets\/stocks\/news\/crisis-deepens-can-vodafone-idea-share-price-reach-zero\/85067389"},{"msid":"85065328","title":"A collapse of Voda Idea will hurt IDFC First Bank, YES Bank most","entity_type":"ARTICLE","seopath":"markets\/stocks\/news\/a-collapse-of-voda-idea-will-hurt-idfc-first-bank-yes-bank-most","category_name":"News","synopsis":"Vodafone Idea is unlikely to be able to service its gross debt of over Rs 1.8 lakh crore. The telecom operator owes at least Rs 28,700 crore to several state-owned and private sector lenders.","thumb":"https:\/\/etimg.etb2bimg.com\/thumb\/img-size-81119\/85065328.cms?width=150&height=112","link":"\/news\/markets\/stocks\/news\/a-collapse-of-voda-idea-will-hurt-idfc-first-bank-yes-bank-most\/85065328"},{"msid":"85059690","title":"Vodafone Idea shares tank 24% after KM Birla steps down as chairman","entity_type":"ARTICLE","seopath":"markets\/stocks\/news\/vodafone-idea-shares-tank-24-after-km-birla-steps-down-as-chairman","category_name":"News","synopsis":"Shares of Vodafone Idea have tanked about 45 per cent in just four days. The scrip was trading at Rs 8.35 on Friday, July 30. The counter hit a new 52-week low.","thumb":"https:\/\/etimg.etb2bimg.com\/thumb\/img-size-28400\/85059690.cms?width=150&height=112","link":"\/news\/markets\/stocks\/news\/vodafone-idea-shares-tank-24-after-km-birla-steps-down-as-chairman\/85059690"}],"msid":85067880,"entity_type":"ARTICLE","title":"Crisis deepens: Can Vodafone Idea share price reach zero?","synopsis":"Analysts say theoretically it is not possible, but there are some scenarios in which investors may be left with nothing in their hand. The answer largely lies in what form the company will survive, if it does.","titleseo":"telecomnews\/crisis-deepens-can-vodafone-idea-share-price-reach-zero","status":"ACTIVE","authors":[{"author_name":"Shubham Raj","author_link":"\/author\/479253094\/shubham-raj","author_image":"https:\/\/etimg.etb2bimg.com\/authorthumb\/479253094.cms?width=100&height=100&hostid=268","author_additional":{"thumbsize":false,"msid":479253094,"author_name":"Shubham Raj","author_seo_name":"shubham-raj","designation":"Digital Content Producer","agency":false}}],"analytics":{"comments":0,"views":2057,"shares":0,"engagementtimems":10285000},"Alttitle":{"minfo":""},"artag":"ETMarkets.com","artdate":"2021-08-05 16:57:29","lastupd":"2021-08-05 16:59:15","breadcrumbTags":["Vodafone idea share price","Vodafone Idea","vodafone idea shares","vodafone idea ltd","BSNL","state bank of india","Vodafone Plc","Industry","Kumar Mangalam Birla","IndusInd Bank"],"secinfo":{"seolocation":"telecomnews\/crisis-deepens-can-vodafone-idea-share-price-reach-zero"}}" data-authors="[" shubham raj"]" data-category-name="" data-category_id="" data-date="2021-08-05" data-index="article_1">
危机的加深:沃达丰股价想法能达到零?
随后贝拉政府的信,他要求帮助,甚至提议放弃他的股份的情况下任何政府或私人实体想接手业务,代替帮助公司生存。
股价周四触及的低点Rs每股4.55与8.50 Rs三天回来。卷突然暴涨。现在,害怕投资者问如果股价能达到零?
达拉勒大街上大多数意见说,政府不能让沃达丰想法死。公司雇佣了大量的人,依靠它来谋生。为政府失业是一个敏感的话题。此外,如果沃达丰的肚子,它会导致虚拟电信市场的垄断,推动关税大幅上升。
“我将关税与洋葱价格相比较。当洋葱价格上涨,它创造了政治问题。同样,移动电话已成为必要。所以你不能承担关税大幅上升,“说Ambareesh Baliga,一个独立的市场分析师。
另一个主要问题,可以来源于沃达丰的想法是,银行体系的崩溃将留下一个巨大的不良贷款账户,这可能是大约23000卢比。最大的银行包括沃达丰想法印度国家银行,IndusInd银行是的,银行。
“现在政府安抚或支付通过银行资本重组。此外,如果公司倒闭,你甚至不会让你的AGR会费你争取现在,”Baliga说。
事实上,一些报道称沃达丰股价英国公司的母公司,其股份BSNL或任何其他金融机构免费提供他们接管无线电话公司。沃达丰股价claridies,它不会在其印度子公司注入了流动性,呼应贝拉的立场。
街头的喋喋不休,政府可以做同样的事情与沃达丰知道美国政府对花旗银行在全球金融危机期间。2008年,美国拯救花旗集团(c.n:行情)同意承担大部分损失约为3060亿美元的银行的风险资产,注入新的资本交换股权。政府最终将其所持股份出售给银行后能够站在自己的腿上。
然而,这将意味着沃达丰概念股票将是零。
“沃达丰的想法似乎已经抛弃了它的推动者。政府的手也绑在先端法院命令。因此,选择现在离开,避免清算。国有化是一个,这将需要注销整个现有股东的股权。此外,所有的税,政府和银行可转化为股权,“Ajay Bodke说,一个独立的市场分析师。他早些时候PMS基金总经理Prabhudas Lilladher。
他说,政府还可以提高电信的底价关税和当前经理继续问。为公司赚钱的息税前利润水平,毕竟费被清除,该公司将实现盈利即使臃肿的股本。
沃达丰(Vodafone)想法的净资产为负38228卢比,2021年3月31日。
“一个强大的双头垄断电信是不可取的。因此,政府应该探索所有选项非常重要电信业运营商行业首席投资策略师说,“VK Vijayakumar Geojit金融服务。
“贝拉的主动放弃股份给一个潜在的生机Voda想法和它的客户,应该受到欢迎和所有选项了。一个重要学习这段悲伤的是,政府的短视的政策,最大化收入可以破坏破坏一个至关重要的行业,”他说。
与今天的情况不确定,生存的几率高一点给沃达丰想法的崩溃带来的风险,你应该买股票吗?
“这是一个二进制的事件。如果它存在,它可能是一个multibagger,上升2到3次。如果它不生存然后报废。所以只有那些可以承担很高的风险应该买现在沃达丰的想法。否则不,”Baliga说。
NEW DELHI: The crisis deepended at Vodafone Idea<\/a> after Kumar Mangalam Birla<\/a> stepped down as the Non-Executive Director and Non-Executive Chairman of the board of the company, sending the share prices downhill.
This followed a letter by Birla to the government, in which he asked for help and even proposed to forego his stake in case any government or private entity wanted to take over the business, in lieu of helping survive the company.
The stock price hit a low of Rs 4.55 per share on Thursday compared with Rs 8.50 level just three days back. Volumes shot up suddenly. Now, scared investors are asking if the share price can hit zero?
Analysts say theoretically it is not possible, but there are some scenarios in which investors may be left with nothing in their hand. The answer largely lies in what form the company will survive, if it does.
Most opinions on Dalal Street say the government cannot afford to let Vodafone Idea die. The company employs a large number of people, who depend on it to earn their living. Unemployment is a touchy subject for the government. Moreover, if Vodafone goes belly up, it will result in virtual duopoly in the telecom market, pushing tariffs up significantly.
“I will compare tariffs with onion prices. Whenever onion prices go up, it creates political issues. Similarly, mobile telephone has become a necessity. So you can’t afford to have tariffs rise sharply,” said Ambareesh Baliga, an independent market analyst.
Another major issue that can stem from the collapse of Vodafone Idea is that the banking system will be left with a massive bad loan account, which may be around Rs 23,000 crore. Vodafone Idea’s biggest lenders include State Bank of India<\/a>, IndusInd Bank<\/a> and Yes Bank.
“Either the government gives sops right now or pays via recapitalisations to banks. Moreover, if the company collapses, you will not even get your AGR dues that you are fighting for right now,” Baliga said.
In fact, some reports say Vodafone Plc<\/a>, the UK-based parent of the company, has offered its stake to BSNL<\/a> or any other financial institutions for free provided they take over the wireless telephony company. Vodafone Plc has claridies that it won't infuse anymore liquidity in its Indian arm, echoing Birla’s stand.
The chatter on the Street is that the government could do the same with Vodafone Idea what the US government did with Citibank during the global financial crisis. In 2008, the US rescued Citigroup Inc agreeing to shoulder most losses of about $306 billion of the bank’s risky assets, and inject new capital in exchange of equity. The government eventually sold its stake after the bank was able to stand on its own legs.
However, this will mean Vodafone Idea shares<\/a> will be zero.
“It appears that Vodafone Idea has been abandoned by both its promoters. The hands of governments are also tied after apex court order. Hence, few options are left now that avoid liquidation. Nationalisation is one, which would entail writing off the entire equity of current shareholders. Moreover, all the dues to the government and banks can be converted into equity,” said Ajay Bodke, an independent market analyst. He was earlier managing PMS funds of Prabhudas Lilladher.
He said the government can also raise the floor price of telecom tariffs and ask the current managers to continue. As the company is making money at the Ebitda level, after all dues are cleared, the company will become profitable even with bloated equity.
The net worth of Vodafone Idea is negative Rs 38,228 crore, as of March 31, 2021.
\"A powerful duopoly in telecom is not desirable. Therefore, the government should explore all options to make the hugely crucial telecom sector a three-player industry<\/a>,\" said VK Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Financial Services.
\"Birla's offer to give up his stake to give a potential lease of life to Voda Idea and its customers, which should be welcomed and all options explored. An important learning from this sad episode is that governments' short-sighted policies to maximise revenues can wreck havoc on a crucial industry,\" he said.
So, with things so uncertain today, and the chances of survival a little higher given the risks Vodafone Idea’s collapse entails, should you buy the stock?
“It is a binary event. If it survives, it could be a multibagger, rising 2 to 3 times. And if it doesn’t survive then it is a writeoff. So only those who can take very high risks should buy Vodafone Idea now. Otherwise don’t,” said Baliga.
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