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2023年全球商品贸易可能会下降在上升的风险

货物贸易明年将下降0.2%,收缩可能从今年最后几个月,首席经济学家亚当·斯莱特星期五在一份报告中写道。从6月大幅修订下,当牛津预测,全球商品贸易在2023年将增长3.4%。

全球货物贸易明年将会收缩在低迷让人想起以往的衰退,牛津经济研究院说,一个令人担忧的预估亚洲依赖出口的经济体和超越。

货物贸易明年将下降0.2%,收缩可能从今年最后几个月,首席经济学家亚当·斯莱特周五的一份报告中写道。从6月大幅修订下,当牛津预测,全球商品贸易在2023年将增长3.4%。

预测明年还在最严重的贸易前景和伴随着越来越多的亚洲国家报告出口萎缩。韩国周四说出口较上年同期下跌最两年半在11月,拖累了经济放缓中国对半导体和冷却需求。

10月份中国的出口和进口都意外下降和下降将加深了去年11月,根据预估数据将于下周公布。

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Global goods trade<\/a> will shrink next year in a downturn reminiscent of previous recessions, Oxford Economics<\/a> said, in a worrying forecast for Asia<\/a>'s export-dependent economies and beyond.

Goods trade will decline 0.2% next year, with contractions likely starting from the final months of this year, lead economist Adam Slater<\/a> wrote Friday in a report. That's a substantial revision down from June, when Oxford forecast that the global goods trade would grow 3.4% in 2023.

The forecast is among the worst trade outlooks yet for next year and coincides with a growing number of Asian nations reporting shrinking exports. South Korea said Thursday its exports fell the most in two-and-a-half years from a year earlier in November, dragged down by an economic slowdown in China<\/a> and cooling demand for semiconductors.

<\/div><\/div>China's exports and imports both unexpectedly fell in October and those declines are expected to have deepened in November, according to forecasts for data due to be released next week.
<\/div><\/div>
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