NEW DELHI: India will be the fastest growing economy<\/a> among G-20<\/a> countries clocking a 7.1 per cent growth in 2017, Moody's<\/a> Investors Service said today. “印度预计将所有g20国家中增长最快的经济增长将在2017年为7.1%,低于此前预期的7.5%,因为demonetisation的影响,”穆迪说。 新德里:印度将是增长最快的经济在20国集团国家孵蛋的2017年,增长了7.1%穆迪投资者服务公司今天说。
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The Indian economy<\/a> had slowed in the fourth quarter of 2016 due to the withdrawal of 86 per cent of the currency in circulation -- without an immediate replacement.
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\n\"India is forecast to have the fastest growing economy among all G-20 countries with growth put at 7.1 per cent for 2017, down from a previous expectation of 7.5 per cent because of the effects of demonetisation,\" Moody's said.
\n
\nWith regard to global growth, Moody's said continuing cyclical recovery in global economic activity with growth in G-20 countries picking up modestly to 3 per cent in 2017 and 2018 from 2.6 per cent in 2016, but potential shifts in US policy add uncertainty to this forecast.
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\"We note unusually high uncertainty around our global forecasts due to the wide range of outcomes that could arise from significant shifts in US policy on a number of domestic and international issues, including trade and immigration,\" Moody's VP and Senior Analyst Madhavi Bokil<\/a> said.
\n
\nThe systemic risks to this forecast may stem from shifts in US trade policies, risks to global financial markets and emerging market economies if US interest rates were to rise faster than anticipated and\/or the US dollar were to appreciate sharply.
\n
Also there could be risks of a sudden and sharp deceleration in China<\/a> and political and fragmentation risks in the EU and the euro area, Moody's said.
\n
In the report titled 'Modest Acceleration in the Global Economy<\/a>, but Shifting US Policies Inject Uncertainty', Moody's said there is a high risk of a significant protectionist shift in US trade policy and could inflict lasting damage to the global economy.
\n
\nRegarding Asia, Moody's said China's economy stabilised around the official growth target of 6.7 per cent in 2016, but will likely continue to decelerate to 6.3 per cent and 6 per cent in 2017 and 2018.
\n
Moody's expects that the US economy will get additional lift from a stimulative fiscal policy stance pushing growth above potential. Accordingly, Moody's has revised its real GDP<\/a> growth forecast to 2.4 per cent in 2017 and 2.5 per cent in 2018, from 2.2 per cent and 2.1 per cent, respectively.
\n
Moody's forecast assumes the US Federal Reserve<\/a> will raise the federal funds rate by 75-100 basis points in three to four rate hikes in 2017. \"We expect the Fed to err on the side of caution and tolerate somewhat above-target inflation<\/a> in the near term.\" \n<\/p><\/body>","next_sibling":[{"msid":57319614,"title":"Freedom 251 phone: Ringing Bells MD Mohit Goel detained for 'fraud'","entity_type":"ARTICLE","link":"\/news\/freedom-251-phone-ringing-bells-md-mohit-goel-detained-for-fraud\/57319614","category_name":null,"category_name_seo":"telecomnews"}],"related_content":[],"msid":57319967,"entity_type":"ARTICLE","title":"India to be fastest growing economy among G-20 nations: Moody's","synopsis":"\"India is forecast to have the fastest growing economy among all G-20 countries with growth put at 7.1 per cent for 2017, down from a previous expectation of 7.5 per cent because of the effects of demonetisation,\" Moody's said.","titleseo":"telecomnews\/india-to-be-fastest-growing-economy-among-g-20-nations-moodys","status":"ACTIVE","authors":[],"Alttitle":{"minfo":""},"artag":"PTI","artdate":"2017-02-24 00:19:27","lastupd":"2017-02-24 00:19:44","breadcrumbTags":["G-20","indian economy","industry","Inflation","gdp","Federal Reserve","global economy","Moody's","madhavi bokil","China","economy"],"secinfo":{"seolocation":"telecomnews\/india-to-be-fastest-growing-economy-among-g-20-nations-moodys"}}" data-authors="[" "]" data-category-name="" data-category_id="" data-date="2017-02-24" data-index="article_1">
印度是20国集团中经济增长最快的国家:穆迪
的印度经济曾在2016年第四季度的放缓,由于86%的货币回笼,没有立即更换。
“印度预计将所有g20国家中增长最快的经济增长将在2017年为7.1%,低于此前预期的7.5%,因为demonetisation的影响,”穆迪说。
关于全球经济增长,穆迪表示持续的周期性复苏全球经济活动与20国集团国家的增长缓慢回升到3%在2017年和2018年从2016年的2.6%,但潜在的美国政策的变化添加这个预测的不确定性。
“我们注意异常高的不确定性全球预测由于广泛的结果这可能源自美国政策发生重大变化的国内和国际问题,包括贸易和移民,”穆迪副总裁和高级分析师Madhavi Bokil说。
这个预测的系统性风险可能来自美国贸易政策的变化,全球金融市场面临的风险,新兴市场经济体如果美国利率上升快于预期和/或美元大幅升值。
也有可能突然大幅减速的风险中国在欧盟和政治和分散风险,欧元区,穆迪表示。
报告题为“适度加速的全球经济不确定性,但美国的政策转变注入”,穆迪表示有一个高风险美国贸易政策和贸易保护主义的转变可能会对全球经济造成持久伤害。
对于亚洲,穆迪表示中国经济稳定在2016年的官方增长目标6.7%,但可能会继续在2017年和2018年减速至6.3%和6%。
穆迪预计,美国经济将会得到额外的升力上方的刺激性财政政策立场推动经济增长的潜力。因此,穆迪已修订了其真实的国内生产总值2018年经济成长预估至2.4%,2017年为2.5%,分别从2.2%和2.1%。
穆迪预测假设美国美国联邦储备理事会(美联储,fed)将提高联邦基金利率到75 - 100个基点在2017年三到四次加息。"我们预计美联储宁可谨慎和容忍有点超标通货膨胀在短期内。”
NEW DELHI: India will be the fastest growing economy<\/a> among G-20<\/a> countries clocking a 7.1 per cent growth in 2017, Moody's<\/a> Investors Service said today.
\n
The Indian economy<\/a> had slowed in the fourth quarter of 2016 due to the withdrawal of 86 per cent of the currency in circulation -- without an immediate replacement.
\n
\n\"India is forecast to have the fastest growing economy among all G-20 countries with growth put at 7.1 per cent for 2017, down from a previous expectation of 7.5 per cent because of the effects of demonetisation,\" Moody's said.
\n
\nWith regard to global growth, Moody's said continuing cyclical recovery in global economic activity with growth in G-20 countries picking up modestly to 3 per cent in 2017 and 2018 from 2.6 per cent in 2016, but potential shifts in US policy add uncertainty to this forecast.
\n
\"We note unusually high uncertainty around our global forecasts due to the wide range of outcomes that could arise from significant shifts in US policy on a number of domestic and international issues, including trade and immigration,\" Moody's VP and Senior Analyst Madhavi Bokil<\/a> said.
\n
\nThe systemic risks to this forecast may stem from shifts in US trade policies, risks to global financial markets and emerging market economies if US interest rates were to rise faster than anticipated and\/or the US dollar were to appreciate sharply.
\n
Also there could be risks of a sudden and sharp deceleration in China<\/a> and political and fragmentation risks in the EU and the euro area, Moody's said.
\n
In the report titled 'Modest Acceleration in the Global Economy<\/a>, but Shifting US Policies Inject Uncertainty', Moody's said there is a high risk of a significant protectionist shift in US trade policy and could inflict lasting damage to the global economy.
\n
\nRegarding Asia, Moody's said China's economy stabilised around the official growth target of 6.7 per cent in 2016, but will likely continue to decelerate to 6.3 per cent and 6 per cent in 2017 and 2018.
\n
Moody's expects that the US economy will get additional lift from a stimulative fiscal policy stance pushing growth above potential. Accordingly, Moody's has revised its real GDP<\/a> growth forecast to 2.4 per cent in 2017 and 2.5 per cent in 2018, from 2.2 per cent and 2.1 per cent, respectively.
\n
Moody's forecast assumes the US Federal Reserve<\/a> will raise the federal funds rate by 75-100 basis points in three to four rate hikes in 2017. \"We expect the Fed to err on the side of caution and tolerate somewhat above-target inflation<\/a> in the near term.\" \n<\/p><\/body>","next_sibling":[{"msid":57319614,"title":"Freedom 251 phone: Ringing Bells MD Mohit Goel detained for 'fraud'","entity_type":"ARTICLE","link":"\/news\/freedom-251-phone-ringing-bells-md-mohit-goel-detained-for-fraud\/57319614","category_name":null,"category_name_seo":"telecomnews"}],"related_content":[],"msid":57319967,"entity_type":"ARTICLE","title":"India to be fastest growing economy among G-20 nations: Moody's","synopsis":"\"India is forecast to have the fastest growing economy among all G-20 countries with growth put at 7.1 per cent for 2017, down from a previous expectation of 7.5 per cent because of the effects of demonetisation,\" Moody's said.","titleseo":"telecomnews\/india-to-be-fastest-growing-economy-among-g-20-nations-moodys","status":"ACTIVE","authors":[],"Alttitle":{"minfo":""},"artag":"PTI","artdate":"2017-02-24 00:19:27","lastupd":"2017-02-24 00:19:44","breadcrumbTags":["G-20","indian economy","industry","Inflation","gdp","Federal Reserve","global economy","Moody's","madhavi bokil","China","economy"],"secinfo":{"seolocation":"telecomnews\/india-to-be-fastest-growing-economy-among-g-20-nations-moodys"}}" data-news_link="//www.iser-br.com/news/india-to-be-fastest-growing-economy-among-g-20-nations-moodys/57319967">
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