Reliance Jio<\/a> Infocomm’s big-ticket entry into satellite services on the heels of Bharti Group-backed OneWeb<\/a> may have lent a new dimension to the emerging broadband-from-space services market in India.
But industry executives, legal experts and analysts say the entry of India’s top two telecom players in the satcom<\/a> space won’t automatically lead to a sharp drop in pricey satellite Internet<\/a> rates anytime soon. That is, unless global biggies such as Elon Musk’s Starlink, Amazon’s Project Kuiper and Canada’s Telesat among others also quickly launch fast broadband services via satellites in the country, which would drive competition and gradually bring down prices.
At present, satellite Internet services are priced in India at around $15-20 (Rs 1,125-1,500) a GB. By contrast, base 4G mobile broadband rates in India are among the lowest in the world, as little as around Rs 4-5 a GB. According to industry estimates, fibre-based wired broadband is priced even lower at around Rs 2-3 a GB, as most home broadband plans offer unlimited data.
“Satcom tariffs in India are far above global norms, and to drive down prices, India needs more (players) than just Reliance and Bharti,” Anirudh Rastogi, founder and managing partner of Ikigai Law, told ET.
Ikigai is a tech-focused law firm that advises some of the world’s top satellite service players.
The presence of only two dominant players (Jio and OneWeb) could “result in a duopoly” in the nascent satellite broadband<\/a> segment as “both have existing retail infrastructure and an advantage over anyone else in the sector”, Rastogi said.
To be sure, Reliance Jio’s president Matthew Oommen recently told ET that the telecoms market leader will work with its global satellite services partner, SES, to disrupt satcoms cost structures by leveraging their respective technologies to deliver affordable broadband from space connectivity.
Jio and OneWeb did not reply to ET’s queries.
Jio’s entry<\/strong>
In early February, Mukesh Ambani-owned Jio Platforms (JPL) partnered with Luxembourg’s SES to from a 51:49 joint venture, Jio Space Technology, to deliver fast broadband services across India and neighbouring markets using a mix of geostationary (GEO) and medium earth orbit (MEO) satellite constellations.
The Jio-SES JV will also offer satellite bandwidth capacity to enterprises and cellular backhaul services to boost wireless broadband coverage in remote, inhospitable areas where there aren’t enough mobile towers or fibre connectivity. It will also complement Jio’s terrestrial networks and allow it to connect India’s remotest locations. JPL, which is Jio’s parent, is the digital arm of Reliance Industries (RIL).
Jio has also floated a separate satellite unit, Jio Satellite Communications, which has applied to the Department of Telecommunications (DoT) for a licence for global mobile personal communications by satellite services.
To be sure, analysts say that Jio, by virtue of its operations scale, sales reach and market position, can easily bring about a paradigm shift to India’s B2B satellite services amid rising demand for high-speed broadband connectivity in commercial passenger aircraft, cruise ships or from enterprises operating in remote locations.
This, since Jio Space Technology, like One Web, will operate on a B2B model, offering services to aviation, maritime players, enterprises and governments besides cellular backhaul services to boost mobile coverage in remote zones where terrestrial networks are weak.
“Demand for in-flight Internet services and reliable fast broadband on cruise ships is on the rise globally, including in India, as also from enterprises engaged in the mining\/oil drilling businesses in remote areas…this is where we believe Reliance Jio will likely focus via B2B satellite services offerings and diversify its revenue streams,” said Nitin Soni, senior director (corporates) at ratings firm Fitch.
Market potential<\/strong>
EY expects India’s satellite services market to grow to nearly $5 billion by 2025, and the near-term annual revenue opportunity is estimated at more than $1 billion. This is since almost 75% of rural India doesn't have broadband access and many locations still go without cellular or fibre connectivity.
A recent PLUM Consulting study says provision of high-speed broadband via satellites to India's unserved regions could contribute up to $184.6 billion in GDP growth per annum by 2030.
Satellite systems, which can be rolled out a lot faster than terrestrial telecom networks in rural and remote regions, are seen as a viable alternative to connect the unconnected. More so, after the pandemic revealed that millions in India’s remote corners still don’t have fast Internet access or even reliable mobile connections.
“The current B2B satellite broadband market size in India is around a modest $100 million, which is why the growth potential is huge,” said a top satcoms industry executive.
Small wonder, global low-earth orbit (LEO) satellite constellation operators such as Sunil Mittal-led OneWeb, Starlink and Telesat in partnership with the Tatas have announced their India entry.
UK’s Inmarsat too plans to operate on a B2B model and deliver satellite broadband services in India to aviation and shipping companies, enterprises and government departments. Jeff Bezos-led Amazon too is known to be eyeing India’s satellite Internet market as part of its global space Internet initiative, Project Kuiper.
First off the block, OneWeb plans to launch satellite broadband services in India’s rural and remote regions by mid-2022. Hughes Communications India – a 67:33 joint venture between US-based Hughes and Bharti Airtel<\/a> – will distribute OneWeb’s satellite services in India.
Musk’s Starlink too had originally planned to launch satellite broadband services in the country this year. But the availability of Starlink’s satellite Internet services now remains uncertain, especially after DoT and the Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (Trai) recently rebuked the US aerospace firm’s Indian arm for taking pre-bookings without any licence or authorisation to offer the service in the country.
The communications ministry, in fact, has barred Starlink from seeking any pre-bookings for its services till it gets the necessary permits and authorisations from the government.
“Continued uncertainty around availability of satellite Internet services from a formidable global player like Starlink in India will definitely benefit both Jio and OneWeb, give them an early-mover advantage and boost their go-to-markets strategy in the relatively nascent satellite broadband services arena,” Rohan Dhamija, head (India & Middle East) at Analysys Mason, told ET.
Fight over spectrum<\/strong>
Industry experts said Jio’s overall telecoms and satellite business strategy would get a further fillip if Trai and DoT back the Mukesh Ambani-led telco’s call for auctioning the coveted 28 Ghz mmWave spectrum and making it fully available for 5G mobile broadband services.
“A (potential) auction of 28 Ghz spectrum for 5G may provide Jio an opportunity to block large amounts of spectrum for use by other satcom providers,” said Ikigai’s founder, Rastogi.
Such a strategy, he said, would also make sense for Jio, “assuming it can monetise the (28 Ghz) spectrum for 5G (services) better than for satcom,” especially as it’s already invested in mobile telephony.
The high stakes Internet-from-space segment has lately become the new battleground between Jio and other satellite operators.
In recent submissions to Trai, Jio has sparred with global satellite players over the auctioning of the 28 Ghz spectrum, currently used exclusively by satellite players but considered super-efficient for 5G services as well.
It has also urged the regulator to recommend spectrum allocations via auctions alone for establishing and operating satellite gateways, saying such a move would comply with the ‘same service, same rules’ principle. Jio has maintained that this would be in step with the Supreme Court’s 2012 verdict that backed airwaves allocation via auctions alone.
Jio’s stance has been countered by Amazon, OneWeb, Hughes and Telesat who have backed administrative allocation of such airwaves in line with global practices.
Global satellite operators, on their part, have also warned that any allocation of the premium 28 Ghz spectrum for 5G services would undermine satellite operations in India and lead to coverage gaps.
Christopher McLaughlin, chief of government, regulatory affairs and engagement at OneWeb, in a recent submission to Trai, underlined the “risk of interference” if terrestrial mobile services are authorised in the 28 Ghz band. He said the 28 Ghz band had also not been accepted as a potential 5G band at Geneva-based International Telecom Union’s World Radio conferences in 2015 and 2019.
Canada’s Telesat too has pointed out to the sector regulator that even the US, which was at the forefront of promoting 5G services in the 28 Ghz band, is now reconsidering the option because of extremely poor coverage”.
Telecom operators and the broader satellite industry are eagerly awaiting India’s new Spacecom policy that is likely to underline the critical role that non-geostationary (NGSO) satellites systems, as in LEOs and MEOs, are likely to play in India. The policy is also likely to include enabling regulations around ways to use new-age satellite constellations optimally without duplicating existing telecoms network infrastructure and resources.
The government, on its part, is simplifying the clearances drill to hasten satellite broadband network rollouts and also exploring ways to create a vibrant satcoms ecosystem. An apex single platform clearance wing with representatives of the Department of Space, DoT (including its technical wing — the Telecom Engineering Centre) and the I&B ministry among others, was recently constituted to give in-principle approvals to licensees keen to set up greenfield satellite networks in India.
In June 2020, finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman had said the government would create a level playing field for private satellite builders, satellite launchers and space-based service providers under its new space communication policy, which would bring in a more predictable regulatory regime.
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