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iPhone延迟打压苹果之前的假期

中断迫使苹果公司提供了一个罕见的库比蒂诺只更新后10天,加州公司公布第四财政季度收益10月底。它说出口的新的溢价iphone将会低于预期,因为封锁。

由Subrat Patnaik

等待时间苹果Inc .)最昂贵的智能手机正在上升,分析师表示,创纪录的假日购物季拉开帷幕,威胁要遏制销售公司的一年最忙的时候和破坏集会在股票。

客户在美国周二将得到一个订单iPhone14个专业交付在纽约12月30日圣诞节后,根据苹果的网站。等待是34天截至上周,接近有史以来最高,据瑞银集团。

iPhone延迟打压苹果之前的假期

造成的延误,Covid封锁中国核电站周围由iPhone的合同制造商,可能导致分析师削减本季度获利预估,占35%到40%的iPhone销量。这反过来可能会进一步压力苹果的股票价格已相对还在今年的科技崩溃。

“这可能会导致一些进一步的不利因素为苹果,”马特Maley说,Miller Tabak + Co .首席市场策略师消费者财政捉襟见肘,因为不断上涨的食品和能源价格,这“几乎肯定会导致消费者在假日后的喇叭。如果是这样的话,这将是苹果难以弥补失去的明年假期销售。”

苹果公司一位发言人说,他在等待时间没有立即置评。

如果等待时间不改善在未来几周,销量可能错过估计,导致iPhone收入同比持平,而不是像预期的那样上升约2%,分析师,根据瑞银(UBS)的大卫·沃格特。

Jefferies分析师凯尔·麦克尼利假定大约三个星期的中断和估计每周的封锁将削减10亿美元营收和每股收益1美分。Evercore ISI Amit Daryanani估计,这可能导致约30亿美元的iPhone收入在第一季度。

对于公牛来说,这可能是最好的结果。“我们不相信这些一定会丢失订单,”Mark Stoeckle说亚当斯基金的首席执行官。“我们认为他们会推迟订单。”

中断迫使苹果公司提供了一个罕见的库比蒂诺只更新后10天,加州公司公布第四财政季度收益10月底。它说出口的新的溢价iphone将会低于预期,因为封锁。

苹果的时间不可能更糟。

以来,股价已上涨9.7% 11月10日发布的一份报告显示美国消费者通货膨胀冷却。引发在科技股涨势,因投资者认为,美国联邦储备理事会(fed,美联储)可能会很快加息的步伐缓慢。苹果已经打动了华尔街的收益,增加了1910亿美元,它的市场价值在一个会话中,由我们公司最多的。

“苹果相对于其他名字仍然提供了安全,”刘易斯Grant说,爱马仕联合有限公司资深投资组合经理格兰特说,他需要安慰,苹果并不完全依赖于硬件,因为公司可以利用一连串的经常性收入从音乐订阅服务,如苹果和苹果街机游戏。

分析师本季度平均苹果营收估计减少了1.7%,过去三个月相比减少2.6%到6.5%的微软(msft . o:行情)等同行,字母Inc .)和Amazon.com Inc .。

而iPhone仍然是该公司的摇钱树,该公司一直在努力扩大销售。刺激Mac销售,苹果推出了一个罕见的促销协议为散装购买电脑的小型企业,以应付在假日购物季放缓。

“只要供应相关的问题,没关系,这是可控的,”亚历克说年轻的首席投资策略师MAPsignals。“如果有任何需求减弱的暗示,我认为股票价格将会更加脆弱。市场往往是向前看的。这是更敏感的需求破坏给所有对经济衰退的担忧。”

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By Subrat Patnaik<\/strong>

Wait times for Apple<\/a> Inc.\u2019s most expensive smartphones are rising to what analysts say are record levels as the holiday shopping season kicks off, threatening to curb sales at the company\u2019s busiest time of year and derail a rally in the stock.

Customers in the US who placed an order Tuesday would get an iPhone<\/a> 14 Pro delivered in New York on Dec. 30, after Christmas, according to Apple\u2019s website. The wait was about 34 days as of last week, near the highest ever, according to UBS Group AG<\/a>.

<\/div><\/div>
\"iPhone<\/figure>
The delays, resulting from Covid lockdowns around a Chinese plant run by a contract manufacturer of iPhones, could cause analysts to trim their earnings estimates for this quarter, which accounts for 35% to 40% of iPhone unit sales. That in turn could further pressure Apple\u2019s stock price, which has been a relative haven in this year\u2019s tech meltdown.

\u201cThis could cause some further headwinds for Apple,\u201d said Matt Maley, chief market strategist at Miller Tabak + Co. Consumers\u2019 finances are stretched because of rising food and energy prices, which \u201cwill almost certainly cause the consumer to pull in their horns after the holidays. If that is the case, it\u2019s going to be tough for Apple to make up any lost holiday sales next year.\u201d

An Apple spokesman said he didn\u2019t have any immediate comment on the wait times.

If wait times don\u2019t improve over the coming weeks, unit sales could miss estimates, resulting in iPhone revenue coming in flat year-over-year instead of rising by about 2% as expected by analysts, according to UBS\u2019s David Vogt.

Jefferies analyst Kyle McNealy assumes about three weeks of disruptions and estimates that each week of lockdown will cut $1 billion from revenue and 1 cent from earnings per share. Evercore ISI\u2019s Amit Daryanani estimates that this could push out about $3 billion of iPhone revenue into the March quarter.

<\/div><\/div>For bulls, that might be the best-case outcome. \u201cWe don\u2019t believe those will be necessarily lost orders,\u201d said Mark Stoeckle, Adams Funds\u2019 chief executive officer. \u201cWe think they\u2019ll be delayed orders.\u201d

The disruptions forced Apple to provide a rare update only 10 days after the Cupertino, California-based company reported its fiscal fourth quarter earnings at the end of October. It said shipments of the new premium iPhones will be lower than expected because of the lockdowns.

The timing couldn\u2019t have been worse for Apple.

The stock has jumped 9.7% since a Nov. 10 report showed US consumer inflation was cooling a bit. That triggered a rally across tech stocks as investors took the view that the Federal Reserve might be able to soon slow its pace of interest rate increases. Apple, which had already impressed Wall Street with its earnings, added $191 billion to its market value in a single session, the most ever by a US company.

\u201cApple relative to the other names still offers safety,\u201d said Lewis Grant, senior portfolio manager at Federated Hermes Ltd. Grant said he takes solace in the fact that Apple isn\u2019t entirely reliant on hardware, since the company can tap into a stream of recurring revenue from subscriptions to services such as Apple Music and Apple Arcade for video games.

Analysts have cut their average Apple revenue estimate for this quarter by 1.7% over the past three months, compared to reductions of 2.6% to 6.5% at peers like Microsoft Corp., Alphabet Inc. and Amazon.com Inc.

While the iPhone remains the cash cow for the company, the company has been trying to expand sales elsewhere. To spur Mac sales, Apple launched a rare promotional deal for small businesses that buy computers in bulk, an effort to cope with a slowdown during the holiday quarter.

\u201cAs long as the issues are supply related, it\u2019s OK, it\u2019s manageable,\u201d said Alec Young, chief investment strategist at MAPsignals. \u201cIf there\u2019s any hint of weakening demand, I think the stock price would be much more vulnerable. The market tends to be forward looking. So it\u2019s much more sensitive to demand destruction given all the concerns about a recession.\u201d
<\/div><\/div>
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