\n
\nAnalysts expect overall bidding to be subdued and purely need-based since no airwaves are coming up for renewal for leading incumbent carriers unlike in earlier auctions where there were business continuity compulsions.
\n
Brokerage Bank of America-Merrill Lynch<\/a>, in fact, expects Bharti Airtel and Idea to spend a modest $700 million and $500 million respectively to purely fill 3G\/4G gaps, and expects the government to raise a modest $3.5 billion from the auction.
\n
Goldman Sachs<\/a> does not expect aggressive bidding either but maintained that the upcoming auction would be crucial for Idea and Vodafone India as they “still have a large amount of 3G\/4G gaps, which they will look to fill”.
\n
The telecom department (DoT) on Monday released the Notice Inviting Application (NIA<\/a>), or the legally binding document for the auctions. The government will auction a whopping 2354.55 units of airwaves in the 3G<\/a> bands of 900 MHz and 2100 MHz, and 4G<\/a> bands of 700 MHz, 800 MHz, 1800 MHz, 2300 MHz and 2500 MHz. It is the largest quantum of airwaves being put up for sale, which may generate Rs5,56,000 crore, or over five times the sum the Centre raised from last year’s sale, provided all auctioned airwaves are sold at the base price.
\n
Most sector and industry<\/a> experts, however, think actual spectrum proceeds will be far below the government revenue target as they predict limited demand for exhorbitant 4G airwaves in the coveted 700 MHz band, which constitutes bulk of the spectrum proposed to be auctioned.
\n
\nBank Am-Merrill Lynch, in fact, said the government may have to go for another spectrum sale in March 2017 to primarily auction “unsold 4G airwaves in the 700 Mhz and 2500 Mhz bands at a lower price”.
\n
\nBrokerage Kotak said the upcoming auction would see “need-based bidding” but maintained it would also be a critical test of “operators’ rationality” since it won’t be a “gun on the head” sale with no material renewal spectrum on offer.
\n
\n“Operators will need to guard against getting swayed by competitive spirits and bid with long-term interests in mind in the September 2016 auction,” said Kotak in a note.
\n
\nCredit Suisse, however, presented a contrarian view, predicting aggressive bidding by incumbents carriers.
\n
\n“Since the telecom sector continues to be constrained on spectrum supply, new entrant Reliance Jio Infocomm’s enviable (4G) spectrum portfolio is likely to nudge incumbents to bid,” the Swiss brokerage said.
\n
\nNitin Soni, director at rating agency Fitch, expects Vodafone India and Idea to selectively beef up 4G spectrum holdings in the 1800 Mhz and 2300 Mhz bands as the first would give them reach and latter, capacity.
\n
\nSoni, however, rules out Vodafone India pitching aggressively for expensive 4G spectrum in the 700 Mhz band, “as the devices\/equipment ecosystem in that band is immature and several years away”.
\n
\n“It’s very unlikely that Vodafone, despite its modest 4G spectrum holdings among incumbent carriers, will target a large dose of 700 Mhz airwaves as it would throw up network planning and integration challenges as it doesn't make sense to run a countrywide 4G network on multiple spectrum bands, especially since the company already has 4G airwaves in the 1800 Mhz band,” Soni told ET.
\n
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加尔各答,印度最大的频谱出售,9月29日开始,预计理性投标和市场领导者Bharti Airtel可能花费7亿到10亿美元将3 g / 4 g频谱差距,专家说。第二大运营商沃达丰印度和3号接线员,细胞,他们说,可能最多出价20亿美元和13亿美元分别挑选3 g / 4 g无线电波在较慢的数据增长和盈利压力由高折旧及摊销费用与之前购买频谱和不断上升的利息支出。
分析师预计整体投标柔和,纯粹是因为因为没有电视即将更新的领先现任运营商与在早些时候拍卖业务连续性的冲动。
经纪公司美国银行-美林事实上,预计Bharti Airtel和花一个适度的分别为7亿美元和5亿美元,纯粹的3 g / 4 g差距,并预计政府筹集的35亿美元的拍卖。
高盛(Goldman Sachs)不希望积极竞标要么但坚持认为即将到来的拍卖将想法的关键和沃达丰印度“仍有大量的3 g / 4 g差距,他们将寻求填补”。
电信部门(点)周一发布了通知邀请应用程序(NIA),或拍卖的具有法律约束力的文件。政府将拍卖高达2354.55个单位的电波3 g乐队的900 MHz和2100 MHz,4 g乐队700 MHz、800 MHz、1800 MHz、2300 MHz和2500 MHz。是最大的量子电波被拍卖,这可能产生的生活费,56000卢比,或超过5次从去年的销售中心,提供所有电波出售拍卖底价。
大多数部门和行业然而,专家认为实际光谱收益将远低于政府收入的目标,因为他们预测需求有限exhorbitant 4 g电波梦寐以求的700 MHz频带,构成大部分频谱提议被拍卖。
事实上,银行Am-Merrill林奇说,政府可能不得不去另一个频谱出售2017年3月主要拍卖”未售出4 g无线电波在700 Mhz和2500 Mhz频段以更低的价格”。
经纪公司科塔克表示,即将到来的拍卖将看到“(即投标”,但保持它也将是一个重大考验。“运营商的理性”,因为它不会是一个“没有枪的头”销售材料更新谱。
“运营商需要防范越来越受到了竞争精神和收购在2016年9月拍卖长远利益考虑的,”科塔克在一份报告中称。
然而,瑞士信贷(Credit Suisse)提出了一个反向的观点,预测现有运营商的大胆出价。
“由于电信部门继续被限制在频谱供应,新进入者依赖Jio Infocomm令人羡慕的光谱(4 g)的投资组合可能会推动现有报价,”瑞士经纪说。
Nitin索尼,评级机构惠誉,主管预计沃达丰印度和想法有选择地增强4 g频谱控股在1800 Mhz和2300 Mhz频段作为第一个会给他们到达,后者,能力。
然而,索尼,排除了沃达丰印度积极推销昂贵的4 g频谱在700 Mhz频带,”乐队的设备/设备的生态系统是不成熟的,几年了”。
“很可能沃达丰,尽管持温和的4 g频谱现任运营商之一,将目标大剂量的700 Mhz无线电波会呕吐网络规划和集成挑战不合理运行全国4 g网络在多个光谱乐队,尤其是公司已经4 g无线电波在1800 Mhz频带,”索尼告诉等。
分析师预计整体投标柔和,纯粹是因为因为没有电视即将更新的领先现任运营商与在早些时候拍卖业务连续性的冲动。
经纪公司美国银行-美林事实上,预计Bharti Airtel和花一个适度的分别为7亿美元和5亿美元,纯粹的3 g / 4 g差距,并预计政府筹集的35亿美元的拍卖。
高盛(Goldman Sachs)不希望积极竞标要么但坚持认为即将到来的拍卖将想法的关键和沃达丰印度“仍有大量的3 g / 4 g差距,他们将寻求填补”。
电信部门(点)周一发布了通知邀请应用程序(NIA),或拍卖的具有法律约束力的文件。政府将拍卖高达2354.55个单位的电波3 g乐队的900 MHz和2100 MHz,4 g乐队700 MHz、800 MHz、1800 MHz、2300 MHz和2500 MHz。是最大的量子电波被拍卖,这可能产生的生活费,56000卢比,或超过5次从去年的销售中心,提供所有电波出售拍卖底价。
大多数部门和行业然而,专家认为实际光谱收益将远低于政府收入的目标,因为他们预测需求有限exhorbitant 4 g电波梦寐以求的700 MHz频带,构成大部分频谱提议被拍卖。
事实上,银行Am-Merrill林奇说,政府可能不得不去另一个频谱出售2017年3月主要拍卖”未售出4 g无线电波在700 Mhz和2500 Mhz频段以更低的价格”。
经纪公司科塔克表示,即将到来的拍卖将看到“(即投标”,但保持它也将是一个重大考验。“运营商的理性”,因为它不会是一个“没有枪的头”销售材料更新谱。
“运营商需要防范越来越受到了竞争精神和收购在2016年9月拍卖长远利益考虑的,”科塔克在一份报告中称。
然而,瑞士信贷(Credit Suisse)提出了一个反向的观点,预测现有运营商的大胆出价。
“由于电信部门继续被限制在频谱供应,新进入者依赖Jio Infocomm令人羡慕的光谱(4 g)的投资组合可能会推动现有报价,”瑞士经纪说。
Nitin索尼,评级机构惠誉,主管预计沃达丰印度和想法有选择地增强4 g频谱控股在1800 Mhz和2300 Mhz频段作为第一个会给他们到达,后者,能力。
然而,索尼,排除了沃达丰印度积极推销昂贵的4 g频谱在700 Mhz频带,”乐队的设备/设备的生态系统是不成熟的,几年了”。
“很可能沃达丰,尽管持温和的4 g频谱现任运营商之一,将目标大剂量的700 Mhz无线电波会呕吐网络规划和集成挑战不合理运行全国4 g网络在多个光谱乐队,尤其是公司已经4 g无线电波在1800 Mhz频带,”索尼告诉等。
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