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自2016年以来,美国的科技盈利将下滑最

纳斯达克100指数进入这个关键伸展在黑暗的背景下,短路开门红。强调未来风险,微软(msft . o:行情)周二开幕小组的报告,在开始裁员数千人加入Amazon.com inc .)本周销售缓慢。

Jeran威腾斯坦
美国科技股即将达到下一个障碍在财报季最具影响力的标准普尔500指数在未来一周开始:消失的利润。

纳斯达克纳斯达克100股指进入这个关键伸展在黑暗的背景下,短路开门红。强调未来风险,微软(msft . o:行情)周二开幕小组的报告,在开始裁员数千人加入Amazon.com inc .)本周销售缓慢。谷歌父字母表公司按照自己的计划缩减的劳动力。

华尔街数月来一直削减收益预期的技术部门,预计将是最大的拖累标准普尔500指数在第四季度利润,彭博社采集数据显示,情报显示。然而,投资者面临的危险是,分析师仍然证明过于乐观,与该行业的产品需求摇摇欲坠的经济降温。

“科技推动整体收益的衰退,我们看到在标普,”迈克尔·卡斯珀说,股票策略师布隆伯格的智力。“虽然有很多烤,这取决于如果这次经济衰退的出现和它发生,当然还有一些负面的修订风险部门。”

自2016年以来,美国的科技盈利将下滑最

公司包括德州仪器公司,林研究公司和英特尔公司(Intel corp .)也报告下周。苹果(aapl . o:行情),字母和其他巨头宣布下周。该集团有巨大的影响力在整体市场的路径,与信息技术占超过25%的标准普尔500指数的市值。

科技公司的第四季度收益基准预计将较去年同期下降9.2%,2016年以来最大跌幅,BI编纂的数据显示。情绪的恶化的速度是值得注意的:三个月前,华尔街只是看到利润持平。

收入增长为这些公司正在相对于过去几年,当大流行和随后的封锁增压从数字服务销售个人电脑和电源的组件。更高的成本也压缩利润。

估值问题
的关注,然而,估值仍远离廉价尽管去年的100年纳斯达克下跌33%。计售价大约21倍利润预计未来12个月,平均20.5在过去的十年中,并进一步削减估计只会让它看起来更昂贵。多个触底17.7 2020年和2011年为11.3,2009年的衰退结束后。

Sameer Bhasin说,仍然主要在资本价值的时候,大部分的坏消息已经被消化。乐动扑克他预计,第一季度利润估计价格还会继续下跌,但说的一些担忧被夸大了。

“科技不是遭受一个行业需求问题,从消化过剩的痛苦更建在流感大流行期间,”他说。“钱在等待的间隙把回部门。”

分析师预计,科技利润将在今年下半年恢复增长,BI编纂的数据显示。这将使高管全年财测对股市更为重要。

作为收益在未来几周,投资者将有足够的风险监控。

其中包括通货膨胀的可能性证明比许多人预期的更根深蒂固,以及高利率对利润的影响,尼克Getaz说富兰克林上升红利基金的投资组合经理。

“货币政策滞后,我们可能还在窗外,“他说。“我们还没有看到你想看到的收益影响加息。”

在企业盈利:
自2016年以来,美国的科技盈利将下滑最

1月20日有所亮点
亚洲:
  • 尚德REIT全年报告净后获得财产性收入超过分析师平均预估
  • Longi绿色能源技术在世界上最大的太阳能公司初步报道2022年净利润上涨71%在太阳能电池板的需求前景
EMEA:
  • 差劲的股价下跌后发行一个新的收益指导,分析人士说,远低于预期,与损伤丹麦风电场运营商已经在一个项目在美国可能会进一步提高的问题
  • 瑞典电信设备制造商爱立信下跌后公布的第四季度息税前利润低于预期。公司的短期前景持谨慎态度,分析人士说,在发达市场运营商降低库存和资本支出在经济前景不确定的情况下

美洲:
  • Netflix上涨后的视频公司报告用户数量远强于预期,得益于一个新的广告支持层和一个强大的原创内容。这也叫Greg Peters联合ceo里德·黑斯廷斯辞去了角色
  • Nordstrom下跌后百货商下调利润前景,给了一个令人失望的更新在即将到来的假日购物季节,与分析师萎靡不振的冲击更大的降价促销。尽管如此,一些分析师表示,疲弱的性能和预测削减并不令人惊讶
自2016年以来,美国的科技盈利将下滑最



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Jeran Wittenstein
<\/strong>
US technology stocks are about to hit their next hurdle when earnings season for the most influential segment of the S&P 500 Index gets underway in the coming week: vanishing profits.

The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100<\/a> Stock Index enters this crucial stretch amid a darkening backdrop that short-circuited a strong start to the year. Underscoring the risks ahead, Microsoft Corp., which kicks off the group\u2019s reporting Tuesday, joined Amazon.com Inc. in starting to cut thousands of jobs this week as sales slow. Google parent Alphabet Inc. followed with plans of its own to shrink its workforce.

Wall Street<\/a> has been slashing earnings estimates for months for the tech sector, which is projected to be the biggest drag on S&P 500 profits in the fourth quarter, data compiled by Bloomberg Intelligence show. The danger for investors, however, is that analysts still prove too optimistic, with demand for the industry\u2019s products crumbling as the economy cools.

<\/div><\/div>\u201cTech is driving a lot of the overall earnings recession that we\u2019re seeing in the S&P,\u201d said Michael Casper, an equity strategist with Bloomberg Intelligence. \u201cWhile there\u2019s a lot baked in, depending on if this recession does emerge and how badly it occurs, there is certainly some negative revision risk for the sector still.\u201d

\"US<\/figure>
Firms including Texas Instruments Inc., Lam Research Corp. and Intel Corp. also report next week. Apple Inc., Alphabet and other behemoths announce the week after. The group has huge sway over the path of the overall market, with info-tech accounting for more than 25% of the S&P 500\u2019s market capitalization.

Fourth-quarter earnings for tech firms in the benchmark are projected to drop 9.2% from the same period a year earlier, the steepest slide since 2016, data compiled by BI show. The speed of the deterioration in sentiment is notable: Three months ago, Wall Street merely saw profits coming in flat.

Revenue growth for these companies is fading relative to the past couple of years, when the pandemic and ensuing lockdowns supercharged sales for everything from digital services to personal computers and the components that power them. Higher costs are also squeezing profits.

<\/div><\/div>Valuation Concerns<\/strong>
The concern, however, is that valuations are still far from cheap despite last year\u2019s 33% tumble in the Nasdaq 100. The gauge is priced at about 21 times profits projected over the next 12 months, compared with an average of 20.5 for the past decade, and further estimate cuts would only make it look more expensive. The multiple bottomed at 17.7 in 2020 and at 11.3 in 2011, in the wake of the recession that ended in 2009.

Still, for Sameer Bhasin, principal at Value Point Capital, most of the bad news has been priced in. He anticipates that first-quarter profit estimates may have further to fall, but says some of the fears are overblown.

\u201cTech isn\u2019t suffering from an industry demand issue, it\u2019s suffering more from a digestion of the excesses that were built in during the pandemic,\u201d he said. \u201cThere\u2019s money on the sidelines that is waiting to be put back into the sector.\u201d

Analysts anticipate that tech profits will return to growth in the second half of the year, data compiled by BI show. That will make executives\u2019 outlooks for the full year all the more critical for stocks.

As earnings roll in over the next few weeks, investors will have plenty of risks to monitor.

Among them are the possibility that inflation proves to be more entrenched than many expect, as well as the effect of higher rates on profits, says Nick Getaz, a portfolio manager of the Franklin Rising Dividends Fund.

\u201cMonetary policy has a lag and we\u2019re likely still in the window of that,\u201d he said. \u201cWe haven\u2019t seen the earnings impact you\u2019d expect to see from rate hikes.\u201d

Elsewhere in corporate earnings:
\"US<\/figure>
Jan. 20 Earnings-Related Highlights
Asia:<\/strong>
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