NEW DELHI | KOLKATA: British telecom major Vodafone<\/a> Group on Tuesday welcomed the government’s conditional clearance to Vodafone India’s merger with Idea Cellular<\/a> and said the company is upbeat about the Indian market and will remain invested here.
Outgoing Vodafone Group CEO Vittorio Colao<\/a> and his successor Nick Read met telecom minister Manoj Sinha<\/a> and secretary Aruna Sundararajan on Tuesday, a day after the Department of Telecommunications (DoT) gave a conditional nod to the merger that will create India’s No 1 telco, displacing Bharti Airtel<\/a>.
“We have always been a strong investor in India. We will remain that,” Read told reporters after the meeting. He said the merged entity “would remain competitive” amid continuing price wars in Indian market.
The current Vodafone group chief financial officer, Read will replace Colao as CEO on October 1. Colao, on his part, expressed hope that the new merged entity, Vodafone Idea Ltd, would be in place before he remits office.
Under the conditional merger approval given on Monday, the telecom department has demanded Rs 7,268 crore upfront payment towards dues it said the two telcos owe it. It is split between a bank guarantee of Rs 3,342 crore on account of one-time spectrum charges claimed from Idea, and cash payment of Rs 3,926 crore towards market price for non-auctioned airwaves held by Vodafone.
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NEW DELHI | KOLKATA: British telecom major Vodafone<\/a> Group on Tuesday welcomed the government’s conditional clearance to Vodafone India’s merger with Idea Cellular<\/a> and said the company is upbeat about the Indian market and will remain invested here.
Outgoing Vodafone Group CEO Vittorio Colao<\/a> and his successor Nick Read met telecom minister Manoj Sinha<\/a> and secretary Aruna Sundararajan on Tuesday, a day after the Department of Telecommunications (DoT) gave a conditional nod to the merger that will create India’s No 1 telco, displacing Bharti Airtel<\/a>.
“We have always been a strong investor in India. We will remain that,” Read told reporters after the meeting. He said the merged entity “would remain competitive” amid continuing price wars in Indian market.
The current Vodafone group chief financial officer, Read will replace Colao as CEO on October 1. Colao, on his part, expressed hope that the new merged entity, Vodafone Idea Ltd, would be in place before he remits office.
Under the conditional merger approval given on Monday, the telecom department has demanded Rs 7,268 crore upfront payment towards dues it said the two telcos owe it. It is split between a bank guarantee of Rs 3,342 crore on account of one-time spectrum charges claimed from Idea, and cash payment of Rs 3,926 crore towards market price for non-auctioned airwaves held by Vodafone.
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Vodafone and Idea have not yet decided on whether to pay or challenge in courts the demands raised by the government, said a person aware of the development.
Another person said both companies have flagged some small discrepancies in the figures, and DoT has asked them to give it in writing. The differences, though, aren’t major and can at best make a difference of a couple of hundred crores in interest calculations, the person said.
Idea’s shares climbed 2.11% to close at Rs 55.70 on BSE on Tuesday, on hopes the Kumar Mangalam Birla–led company, when combined with Vodafone, will be far stronger and competitive.
Experts, however, said the merged entity will fall short of the $10-billion projected savings by way of cost\/capex synergies since the ground realities of the telecom market have changed following sustained price wars over the past 15 months, which has eroded average revenue per user (ARPUs) and operating incomes (Ebitda) at both telcos.
Nitin Soni, director at global rating firm Fitch, expects the merged entity’s cost\/capex synergies to be well below the projected $10 billion and likely to be realised over 3-4 years after merger closure, especially “since tower contracts are long term and site rationalisation cannot be concluded overnight”.
“Managements of merging entities tend to overstate the quantum of synergy benefits that are seldom fully realised,” Soni said. He pointed to sustained pricing disruption fuelled by Jio’s tariff aggression, which has led to a sharp reduction in Ebitda levels of both Idea and Vodafone between March 2017 and March 2018. Vodafone India’s Ebitda shrunk over 34% on year to Rs 7,766 crore in the year ended March 2018 while Idea’s operating income plunged nearly 32% on year to Rs 1,447.3 crore in the quarter ended March.
According to the Fitch director, a potent challenge for the combined entity “would be growing Ebitda level amid continuing price wars with Jio and Airtel”, especially since the present blended industry<\/a> ARPU of $1.5-1.7 is “simply not sustainable in the long run for telcos to make money.” Harsh Jagnani, telecom sector head at ICRA, said the integration of Vodafone and Idea “may see some erosion of subscribers, giving an opportunity to other operators, amid continuing intense competition and pricing pressures”.
Fitch’s Soni, however, said the promoters of Vodafone and Idea “would not have much trouble in lining up cash to make fresh equity infusions in the merged entity to spruce up 4G networks” as they could easily monetise their stakes in the Bharti Infratel-Indus Towers merged entity.
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