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政府决定5 g的颠覆性思维是大众还是一种奢侈品

在任何行业,政府和行业共同努力,获取最佳的消费者。也同样,在电信,政府和行业一直在串联值添加到工作领域,它可以为消费者带来。

费萨尔Kawoosa
费萨尔Kawoosa 创始人、首席分析师techARC
In any sector, government and the industry work together to fetch the best for the consumers. Likewise, in telecom also, both government and the industry have been working in tandem to add value to the sector that it can bring for consumers.<\/p>

However, with the changing technologies, everybody\u2019s approach has to change. The way 2G, 3G and 4G were dealt, perhaps need a departure in policy and regulatory outlook when talking about 5G. There is a fundamental difference which calls for this new innovative outlook from all including the government.<\/p>

5G is a denser technology which needs huge spectrum for any operator to do justice with. This translates to mammoth investment in spectrum alone, if we go by the present spectrum prices proposed. This makes 5G a non-starter in any market. At present no telecom operator would be in a comfortable position to consider committing huge sums for spectrum alone. There is an equally important and similar range of investment required for network infrastructure for 5G to happen. There is also a need to have denser fibre rollout, setting up of large number of base stations, investment in services, applications and ultra-rich content. All of these ingredients will go into the making of a meaningful 5G.<\/p>

With the present approach, even if somehow operators are able to pay for the spectrum, it will not necessarily mean consumers getting benefits of the 5G. It will result in a kind of \u2018spectrum hoarding\u2019, where out of no wrong intention, operators will just be holding the spectrum and will be left with no resources to deploy the technology on top of it. Under the present guidelines, there appear to be only two outcomes of 5G in India; a) operators shall never be able to launch 5G at an appropriate time, or b) operators shall at best \u2018hoard\u2019 the spectrum. Now in both cases, the government can also not realise any revenues in terms of taxes and other critical macro-economic benefits like job creation, infrastructure development, etc. Rather than this, if the government disruptively decides not to sell spectrum but look at other means of revenue generation once 5G is live, it could actually translate in more revenues for the state. This is just like a dividend policy; whether the organisation should announce dividend and give immediate returns to the shareholders or plough it back for maximising wealth of an investor. For government, like any rationale organisation, the objective should be of maximising wealth. In case of government and citizen relationship, there are other considerations as well including better living conditions which could be an outcome of latching on to the latest technology. We have observed in the past that technology upgrades the living standards.<\/p>

Even if we assume that the government does not change the stance and goes by the convention of charging spectrum fees upfront, the operators who could then sail through and actually reach a stage where they could offer a commercial 5G service, shall have to charge at a much higher scale than what we see our current ARPUs settled around. This means, only affluent section of the society can pay for such premium or ultra-premium services. While the operators might still be able to make money and secure a decent return on their investments, there will be a new form of digital imbalance created in the society. There will be digital elites and digital marginals. This goes completely against the fundamental proposition of digital which promises bridging and narrowing any sort of divide in the society \u2013 information, resources, opportunities and participative.<\/p>

There is a whole lot of ecosystem which can get created once 5G services are enabled. The economy will get a kick-up as new avenues and opportunities shall be created by the resource pool built over 5G technology. This shall have its own multiplier influence on the economy ultimately maximising the wealth of nation as well as citizens, which is supreme to tactical tax and revenue collection low level objectives of any government. 5G may not result in revenue creation of the state but it will spur a whole lot of activities which will indeed result in wealth creation and it is upto the government to decide how facilitative it could be to make this happen.<\/p>","blog_img":"","posted_date":"2019-11-04 16:39:16","modified_date":"2019-11-04 16:39:16","featured":"0","status":"Y","seo_title":"Government's disruptive thinking to decide whether 5G is for masses or a luxury","seo_url":"government-s-disruptive-thinking-to-decide-whether-5g-is-for-masses-or-a-luxury","url":"\/\/www.iser-br.com\/tele-talk\/government-s-disruptive-thinking-to-decide-whether-5g-is-for-masses-or-a-luxury\/3856","url_seo":"government-s-disruptive-thinking-to-decide-whether-5g-is-for-masses-or-a-luxury"}">

在任何行业,政府和行业共同努力,获取最佳的消费者。也同样,在电信,政府和行业一直在串联值添加到工作领域,它可以为消费者带来。

然而,随着技术的变化,每个人的方法必须改变。2 g、3 g和4 g解决,可能需要不同的政策和监管前景在谈到5克。有一个根本区别,呼吁这个新的创新前景包括政府。

5 g是一个密集的技术,需要任何运营商做正义的巨大光谱。这就意味着庞大的投资仅在光谱,如果我们通过目前的频谱价格建议。这使得在任何市场5 g行不通。目前没有电信运营商将会在一个舒适的位置单独考虑频谱投入巨额资金。有一个同样重要的和类似的5 g的网络基础设施所需的投资范围发生。还有一个需要密集的纤维推广,设置大量的基站,超投资服务、应用程序和内容。所有这些成分将进入一个有意义的5克。

目前的方法,即使经营者能够支付,它不会意味着消费者得到的好处5克。这将导致一种“频谱囤积”,在没有错误的意图,运营商将只是频谱,剩下没有资源部署技术。在目前的指导方针下,似乎只有两种结果的5 g在印度;)经营者应当永远无法在适当的时候推出5 g,或者b)运营商“囤积”频谱。现在在这两种情况下,政府还没有意识到任何收入的税收和其他重要宏观经济效益创造就业,发展基础设施,等等。而不是这个,如果政府带着决定不出售谱但看看其他收入一旦住5 g,它可以转化为国家更多的收入。这就像一个分红政策;该组织是否应该宣布股息,立即返回给股东或犁最大化财富的投资者。任何理由组织一样,政府的目标应该是最大化财富。政府和公民的关系,还有其他因素包括更好的生活条件可以依靠最新的技术的结果。我们发现在过去的生活水平,技术升级。

即使我们假设政府不改变立场和频谱费收费的会议前期,运营商就可以顺利通过,实际上达到一个阶段,他们可以提供5 g商业服务,应当收取更高的规模比我们看到我们目前的arpu定居。这意味着,只有富裕的社会可以支付溢价或极品等服务。虽然运营商可能仍然能够赚钱,获得可观的投资回报,将会有一个新形式的数字中创建的不平衡的社会。将会有数字精英和数字的人。这完全违背了基本命题的数字承诺缩小,缩小社会中任何形式的分裂——信息、资源、机会和参与。

有很多生态系统可以创建5 g服务一旦启用。经济会激起新的途径和机会,应当由5 g技术构建的资源池。这应当有自己的乘数影响经济最终国家财富的最大化以及公民,这是战术最高税收和收入收集任何政府的低水平的目标。5 g可能不会导致收入创造的但它会刺激很多活动确实会导致财富创造,到政府决定如何使便利的可以来实现这一点。

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In any sector, government and the industry work together to fetch the best for the consumers. Likewise, in telecom also, both government and the industry have been working in tandem to add value to the sector that it can bring for consumers.<\/p>

However, with the changing technologies, everybody\u2019s approach has to change. The way 2G, 3G and 4G were dealt, perhaps need a departure in policy and regulatory outlook when talking about 5G. There is a fundamental difference which calls for this new innovative outlook from all including the government.<\/p>

5G is a denser technology which needs huge spectrum for any operator to do justice with. This translates to mammoth investment in spectrum alone, if we go by the present spectrum prices proposed. This makes 5G a non-starter in any market. At present no telecom operator would be in a comfortable position to consider committing huge sums for spectrum alone. There is an equally important and similar range of investment required for network infrastructure for 5G to happen. There is also a need to have denser fibre rollout, setting up of large number of base stations, investment in services, applications and ultra-rich content. All of these ingredients will go into the making of a meaningful 5G.<\/p>

With the present approach, even if somehow operators are able to pay for the spectrum, it will not necessarily mean consumers getting benefits of the 5G. It will result in a kind of \u2018spectrum hoarding\u2019, where out of no wrong intention, operators will just be holding the spectrum and will be left with no resources to deploy the technology on top of it. Under the present guidelines, there appear to be only two outcomes of 5G in India; a) operators shall never be able to launch 5G at an appropriate time, or b) operators shall at best \u2018hoard\u2019 the spectrum. Now in both cases, the government can also not realise any revenues in terms of taxes and other critical macro-economic benefits like job creation, infrastructure development, etc. Rather than this, if the government disruptively decides not to sell spectrum but look at other means of revenue generation once 5G is live, it could actually translate in more revenues for the state. This is just like a dividend policy; whether the organisation should announce dividend and give immediate returns to the shareholders or plough it back for maximising wealth of an investor. For government, like any rationale organisation, the objective should be of maximising wealth. In case of government and citizen relationship, there are other considerations as well including better living conditions which could be an outcome of latching on to the latest technology. We have observed in the past that technology upgrades the living standards.<\/p>

Even if we assume that the government does not change the stance and goes by the convention of charging spectrum fees upfront, the operators who could then sail through and actually reach a stage where they could offer a commercial 5G service, shall have to charge at a much higher scale than what we see our current ARPUs settled around. This means, only affluent section of the society can pay for such premium or ultra-premium services. While the operators might still be able to make money and secure a decent return on their investments, there will be a new form of digital imbalance created in the society. There will be digital elites and digital marginals. This goes completely against the fundamental proposition of digital which promises bridging and narrowing any sort of divide in the society \u2013 information, resources, opportunities and participative.<\/p>

There is a whole lot of ecosystem which can get created once 5G services are enabled. The economy will get a kick-up as new avenues and opportunities shall be created by the resource pool built over 5G technology. This shall have its own multiplier influence on the economy ultimately maximising the wealth of nation as well as citizens, which is supreme to tactical tax and revenue collection low level objectives of any government. 5G may not result in revenue creation of the state but it will spur a whole lot of activities which will indeed result in wealth creation and it is upto the government to decide how facilitative it could be to make this happen.<\/p>","blog_img":"","posted_date":"2019-11-04 16:39:16","modified_date":"2019-11-04 16:39:16","featured":"0","status":"Y","seo_title":"Government's disruptive thinking to decide whether 5G is for masses or a luxury","seo_url":"government-s-disruptive-thinking-to-decide-whether-5g-is-for-masses-or-a-luxury","url":"\/\/www.iser-br.com\/tele-talk\/government-s-disruptive-thinking-to-decide-whether-5g-is-for-masses-or-a-luxury\/3856","url_seo":"government-s-disruptive-thinking-to-decide-whether-5g-is-for-masses-or-a-luxury"},img_object:["","retail_files/author_1509706883_temp.jpg"],fromNewsletter:"",newsletterDate:"",ajaxParams:{action:"get_more_blogs"},pageTrackingKey:"Blog",author_list:"Faisal Kawoosa",complete_cat_name:"Blogs"});" data-jsinvoker_init="_override_history_url = "//www.iser-br.com/tele-talk/government-s-disruptive-thinking-to-decide-whether-5g-is-for-masses-or-a-luxury/3856";">